| Baseball Schedule Analysis and Interesting Records | Posted on LSU Baseball Blog by ProjectP2294 on Nov 20, 2009 at 3:43 pm |  | |
Coach Mainieri, because it's all about him.
This will be a pretty long post, so get ready. First I will look at Coach Paul Mainieri's first three seasons at LSU and break down his record, there are some interesting things in there. (If anyone doesn't want to read the whole thing, skip to the end for a funny picture of Mainieri while at Notre Dame)
Then I will talk about the upcoming schedule and discuss what I like and don't like about the schedule, as well as what I would rather see on there.
Part 1: Record breakdown of the last three years
Each category will only pertain to LSU's record under Mainieri. I will break it down by Conference, by State, and I will give LSU's record versus some individual teams we play on a regular basis.
Overall: 134-62-2
Home: 85-32-2
Away: 32-26
Neutral: 17-4
Post Season: 25-5 (Unbelievable)
SECT: 9-1
Regionals: 6-0
Supers: 4-1
CWS: 6-3
LSU record by Conference:
SEC: 61-39-2 (includes SECT and CWS games vs conf. opponents)
ACC: 1-2
Atlantic 10: 3-0
Atlantic Sun: 4-5
Big East: 3-0
Big Ten: 6-3
Big XII: 3-1
Big West: 2-1
CUSA: 16-5
Ivy League: 2-0
Southland: 11-2
SWAC: 10-0
Summit League: 3-0
Sunbelt: 6-4
West Coast Conf: 3-0
LSU record by state:
Louisiana: 29-9
Alabama: 15-5
Arkansas: 8-3
California: 5-1
Florida: 12-9
Georgia: 4-3-1
Illinois: 1-2
Indiana: 2-1
Kentucky: 5-3-1
Massachusetts: 2-0
Michigan: 2-0
Minnesota: 1-0
Mississippi: 21-7
North Carolina: 0-2
Pennsylvania: 6-0
South Carolina: 8-3
Tennessee: 5-13 (WTF?!?)
Texas: 7-1
Virginia: 1-0
LSU record versus regular opponents:
Alabama: 8-3
Arkansas: 8-3
Auburn: 7-2
Florida: 4-5
Georgia: 4-3-1
Kentucky: 5-3-1
Miss St: 7-2
Ole Miss: 6-4
South Carolina: 8-3
Tennessee: 2-7
Vanderbilt: 2-4
Tulane: 3-3
ULL: 2-1
UNO: 4-3
SELU: 3-1
That's a lot of raw data, so here's what some of it means:
-LSU will lose three games a year to in-state schools, get over it.
-The state of Tennessee hates LSU.
-The Atlantic Sun Conference hates LSU.
-Mainieri is a GREAT post-season coach.
Another interesting note is that Coach Mainieri is 6-0 against his former assistants. (2-0 vs David Grewe and Mich St, 3-0 vs Terry Rooney and UCF, and 1-0 vs Brian O'Connor and UVa.)
Part 2: The 2010 Regular Season Schedule
Who we play:
2010 Schedule
Where they come from
Conference:
Summit League (3)
West Coast Conference (2)
Ivy League (2)
Big XII (3)
Southland (5)
America East (1)
Colonial Athletic Association (3)
Sun Belt (3)
CUSA (3)
SWAC (1)
SEC (30)
State:
Louisiana (13)
Virginia (3)
California (2)
Rhode Island (2)
Kansas (3)
New York (1)
The rest are all from SEC states.
We play Binghamton out of New York, whose most famous alum is PTI's Tony Kornheiser.
We can double our win total (under Mainieri) against Centenary.
Likes/Dislikes:
-I like the three game set with Kansas, but I don't like the three game set with Centenary. Thankfully, they will be dropping to DIII soon so they won't be an RPI anchor for us much longer.
-I like that there is only one SWAC team on the schedule, but I don't like that it isn't Southern. Southern is the only SWAC team we should ever schedule, and we should play them every year.
-I like the two games vs Pepperdine, but I don't like the two games vs Brown. Ivy League baseball sucks, plain and simple.
-I don't mind the three games against William & Mary, but I would rather bring in a team from the Big South or the Southern Conference, that won't give us as much of an RPI hit from playing them.
-I liked the Big Ten teams we brought in before, too bad we got away from that, but if it means bringing in a Big XII opponent instead, then that's okay.
That's all I have for now. Later on I might post some links about the teams we play so everyone can get familiar with them. And here's the picture of Mainieri I mentioned earlier:
Geaux Tigers!
Category: LSU Sports
Tags: LSU Baseball
2007 Texas vs 2009 LSU | Posted on Best in the World Blog by supatigah on Nov 20, 2009 at 1:25 pm | | |
2007 Texas Stats
2007 Texas by the numbers
quote:
13th total offense
52nd total defense
quote:
2007 Texas Offense
17th rushing offense
39th passing offense
14th scoring offense
quote:
2007 Texas defense
6th rushing defense
109th passing defense
45th scoring defense
47th turnover margin
quote:
2009 LSU Offense
LSU Rushing offense 75th 136.80y/g
LSU Passing offense 103rd 173.20y/g
LSU Scoring Offense 73rd 25.00p/g
LSU Total Offense 107th 310y/g
LSU is 15th in turnover margin (+0.90 per game)
quote:
2009 LSU Defense
LSU is 21st in total defense
LSU is 10th in scoring defense
LSU is 41st in run defense
LSU is 21st in passing efficiency defense
LSU is 25th in pass defense
Texas had a sophomore QB, a great offense and a terrible pass defense
LSU has a sophomore QB and a terrible offense, but a great defense.
Texas won their first four:
quote:
DATE OPPONENT RESULT/TIME RECORD/TICKETS
September 1 Arkansas State W 21-13 1-0 (0-0)
September 8 TCU W 34-13 2-0 (0-0)
September 15 at UCF W 35-32 3-0 (0-0)
September 22 Rice W 58-14 4-0 (0-0)
Lost their next two:
quote:
September 29 Kansas State L 41-21 4-1 (0-1)
October 6 Oklahoma L 28-21 4-2 (0-2)
Freeman had a TD pass, KSU had an INT return for a TD, a punt return for a TD and a KO return for a TD. What were the UT message boards like that night?
Won 5 in a row:
quote:
October 13 at Iowa State W 56-3 5-2 (1-2)
October 20 at Baylor W 31-10 6-2 (2-2)
October 27 Nebraska W 28-25 7-2 (3-2)
November 3 at Oklahoma State W 38-35 8-2 (4-2)
November 10 Texas Tech W 59-43 9-2 (5-2)
and all they had to do was beat a 5-5 Texas A&M squad to gain a BCS Bowl bid. Well they failed. Got stuck in another crappy Holiday Bowl game against ASU, whom they promptly went out and shellacked 52-34.
They hired Will Muschamp in the offseason, fixed the leaky defense and went 12-1 with Colt McCoy as a Junior Heisman finalist and their only blemish in the BCS MNC Race was a heartbreaking loss to Texas Tech.
UT went 10-3 win 2006, losing to tOSU, KSU and Texas A&M. Texas lost to Kansas State and Texas A&M in 2006 and 2007 but finished with 10 wins both years
Were they "mediocre" in 2006 and 2007 with a 10-3 record? Did UT fans want Mack gone? was the UT program a "sinking ship?"
Texas wins out this year they are facing the SECCG winner for the BCSNC. Where will LSU be next year and in 2011? I don't know but I thought the parallels between the two programs was interesting.
Category: LSU Sports
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A look inside LSU's 107th ranked offense | Posted on Best in the World Blog by supatigah on Nov 18, 2009 at 2:57 pm | | |
Last year we saw what a struggling running game, a mediocre pass defense and constantly playing from behind can do to a QB with JLee's 16 INTs. So I surmise that in the off season LSU HC Les Miles committed to Jordan Jefferson at QB and made a decision to reduce the turnovers, achieve a better balance on offense and try to win games with an improved 2009 defense.
2008 Offense
quote:
LSU was 43rd in rushing offense at 167y/g
LSU was 71st in passing offense at 201y/g
LSU was 55th in total offense 368y/g
LSU was 30th in scoring offense 31p/g
Jarrett Lee was 81st in passing efficiency
LSU was 67th in turnover margin (-0.67 per game)
45% of LSU's yardage came via the run in 2008
55% of LSU's yardage came via the pass in 2008
2008 Defense
quote:
LSU was 30th in scoring defense
LSU was 17th in rushing defense
LSU was 42 in passing efficiency defense
LSU was 73rd in pass defense
LSU was 32 in total defense
2009 Offense
quote:
LSU Rushing offense 75th 136.80y/g
LSU Passing offense 103rd 173.20y/g
LSU Scoring Offense 73rd 25.00p/g
LSU Total Offense 107th 310y/g
LSU is 15th in turnover margin (+0.90 per game)
Jordan Jefferson is 29th in passing efficiency 132
44% of LSU's yardage comes via the run in 2009
56% of LSU's yardage comes via the pass in 2009
2009 Defense
quote:
LSU is 21st in total defense
LSU is 10th in scoring defense
LSU is 41st in run defense
LSU is 21st in passing efficiency defense
LSU is 25th in pass defense
2009 National leaders 11-14-09
quote:
Houston Leader in Passing offense 428y/g
Nevada leader in rushing offense 353y/g
Boise State leader in scoring offense 44p/g
Houston leader in total offense 562y/g
Rutgers leader in turnover margin +2.33:1
Moore of Boise State is the leader in passing efficiency 172.01
Houston has 76% of their offense via the pass
Nevada has 68% of their offense via the run
So how much difference is there between the 107th ranked offense of 8-2 LSU of 11/14/09 and the 55th ranked offense of 8-5 LSU in 2008
Offensive Differentials from 11/14/09 to 2008
rushing offense -31y/g
rushing offense rank -32 spots
LSU's 167y/g (43rd) rushing stat in 2008 would be 45th in the country today
passing offense -28y/g
passing offense rank -61 spots
LSU's (71st) 201y/g avg from 2008 would be 82nd today
total offense -58y/g
total offense rank -52 spots
LSU's 368y/g in 2008 (55th) would be 68th today
scoring offense -6p/g
scoring offense rank -43 spots
LSU's 30th ranked 31p/g in 2008 would be 30th today
Passing efficiency +52 spots
Turnover margin +1.57 per game
turnover margin rank +52 spots
LSU's (67th in 2008) -0.67 turnover margin would be 97th today
2009 through 10 games
Sacks 27 for -193yrds
INTs 5 for 31 yards, 6.2yd per INT return AVG
2008
Sacks 22 for -185 yards
INTs 18 for 461 yards, 26.5yd per INT return AVG
3rd Down Conversions
2008
LSU was 66th in the country (70/183 over 13games 38%)
2009
LSU is 59th in the country (49/123 over 10 games 39%)
31y/g rushing and 28y/g passing are what separates LSU statistically in 2008 versus LSU as of 11/14/09. Yet the offensive philosophy and QB execution in the passing game has been very different. The results have been spotty at times, outright terrible in others, but we can't deny that Jefferson has been a marked improvement over Lee and the reduction of INTs has made a tremendous difference.
We know that sacks cause punts, INTs will get you beat. In 2008 18 INTs were returned for a 26.5 yd avg per INT. So not only did LSU turn the ball over, we flipped the field position and put our mediocre defense in terrible positions. Not to mention the 7 INTs returned for TDs.
I can completely understand the decision to bring in the reins on the passing game as JJ got more comfortable. It was no mistake that the two best games JJ played overall were Washington and Auburn. UW was the first game of the season and JJ had a lot of time to prepare. Auburn came off a bye week where JJ had time to work on his QB fundamentals and look at film of the previous 6 games to see what he needed to improve on. His performance in those two games was no accident.
Category: LSU Sports
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Oxford Road Trip Looms Large for Tigers | Posted on SEC Riviera Roundup by Chris Warner on Nov 16, 2009 at 10:26 am | | |
The raucous, traditional cheer is inevitably heard by thousands. Hell-bent Revelers in the Grove ensure it with a certain sanctimonious flair. "Hotty Toddy Gosh A' Mighty, Who in the hell are we?" It will happen, as sure as the setting evening sun. Are you ready Tiger fans? They are the Ole Miss Rebel faithful, and they're anxiously staring down the prospect of two straight wins over the hated purple and gold of LSU. The matchup has Tiger fans wondering if their beloved team has enough punch to defeat a tandem of gritty, talented Western Division foes remaining on the schedule, and whether or not the Tigers' recent golden age of football has come to a precipitous, unceremonious end.
In this piece for TigerDroppings.com, the real McCoy when it comes to SEC sports websites, we'll assess the big picture of LSU Football, preview the upcoming tangle in Oxford, and take our regular armchair quarterback jaunt across the nation's toughest football conference.
Les Miles Behind
Les Miles and his jagged band of battle-wearied warriors assaults a final two-game regular season run amidst drumbeats of dissention. There are those that grumble the recent loss to Alabama was a turning point in the SEC West-that now Nick Saban is the top dog on the proverbial Western Division football food chain and Les Miles has been terminally relegated to wrestling for scraps and the occasional consolation BCS bowl berth as the league's third-best team. Such monikers are coveted at Ole Miss, where they hang banners for division championships. At LSU, it's a reminder of unattained goals and the price that must always be paid to become a champion.
Even if Miles and the Tigers win out the Ohio native will still have vocal detractors. There will be those that will cite that Nick Saban now owns him, even though Miles has won more games in five years than he did at LSU and took less time to do it. Nevertheless, winning out is a necessity for Miles and LSU, who want much to play in a significant, New Year's Day bowl game. Doing so would maintain LSU's current elite status among America's perennial college football powers. For Miles, it is time for his team to regroup and reassess what is needed of them to go on an undefeated three-game run. Anything less means the fan backlash will be even harsher.
A Conference of Champions
The LSU Tigers played valiantly in their two losses this season, although there is no solace in losing in Baton Rouge. A year ago the Tigers appeared disorganized, unmotivated and generally disinterested in their later contests that saw them fall to Ole Miss and Arkansas. The consecutive conference losses were a bitter pill for spoiled Tiger fans, who felt previously omnipotent over such lesser league foes. In today's SEC, no team is an easy victory. All wins must be earned. In a conference of champions, there is never rest for the weary, and that is where LSU currently finds itself.
While LSU has a more than respectable record, it must finish strong in order for its season to be considered reasonably fulfilling to the fans. It does not matter that the team has played exceptionally hard in two tough losses. The two losses in many people's eyes tarnish the season effort. These people say that Les is the "Modern-Day Charlie Mac,” which is hardly an insult to anyone who knows anything about college football. All I can think of is, "Welcome to South Louisiana Coach Miles.”
Unrealistic expectations are everywhere in college football. Not every program can win the national championship every year, which is oddly what Florida is trying to do this season. Therefore, maybe it can happen. We shall see. But for LSU, winning out and finishing possibly among the top five teams in the country at 11-2 is pretty solid recognition and an achievement certainly worthy of the recognition bestowed on previous great Tiger teams. Albeit bittersweet, going 11-2, winning a New Year's Day Bowl game and finishing in the top five is a great college football season, regardless of what the Les Miles haters say. If you don't believe it, just ask an Ole Miss fan what it's like on the flip side of the coin. They're used to it.
Getting Offensive
Prior to the start of the season Coach Les Miles stated that this year's offensive line was the best he'd had since he began coaching in Baton Rouge. Tiger fans that saw Jordan Jefferson execute the option and pass the ball almost flawlessly in the blowout win over Georgia Tech were optimistic about his chances to lead the Tigers in 2009. As it turned out, he's done an admirable job, given his age, and the circumstances. Jefferson is just a sophomore, and remember that not even Matthew Stafford, last season's number-one NFL Draft pick from the SEC-could lead the Bulldogs with Knowshon Moreno to a conference championship. In fact, he lost two big ball games as well, and he's now a multi-millionaire. Nevertheless, LSU's offense needs help, and it's starting to look like a coaching problem, as the Tiger offense has had little coordination throughout the year.
While the Tiger defense has showed vast improvement over last year's dismal effort that ranked last among league totals, the Tiger offense has claimed a similar low point. Gary Crowton has not been able to mold this impressive talent array into a consistently productive unit. LSU has had to work hard for points, and they have come sparingly as of late, placing it dead last in the league in total offense. The LSU offense needs a quick shot of adrenaline, and the surest thing the Tigers possess to remedy the situation is a healthy dose of Russell Shepard, LSU's most dynamic and threatening offensive weapon.
If Crowton fails down the stretch with this group there should be no complaining of lack of talent on his part. The talent is there. He simply has not developed it. Miles fired two defensive coordinators a year ago. Firing a single offensive one at the end of this season-if needed, would certainly be half as easy.
Invading Oxford and Taking the Rebels
LSU has to go into Oxford and beat the Johnny Rebs in their own backyard. This isn't as tough as Tuscaloosa, where the referees are local folk heroes, but it's still not Death Valley. This isn't going to be a cakewalk, as Ole Miss is more athletic and capable, than it has been in years at football. Jevan Snead is a proven, albeit sometimes inconsistent quarterback. He can get it done-as can their head coach, Houston Nutt, who is equally capable at his craft. Beating the Rebels without the senior leadership and talent of Charles Scott will be difficult. Are the Tigers up for a fight? Can the offense muster the courage and pride to play together for four quarters and execute? That is the key question for LSU.
LSU's defense will again be tough. They have been the one staple the Tigers can count on this season, and they should again play well against Ole Miss. However, the Tiger offense will have to awaken if the Tigers are to return home happily for the season finale against the Hogs. Saturday night's offensive effort was just that-offensive. It was one of the worst displays of offense by a Tiger team in some time, and it is the reason I earlier noted that a coaching change may be imminent. LSU's offense has personnel better than a unit last in the league in total offense. Gary Crowton knows this; as does his highly-criticized boss.
Alabama and Florida on a National Championship Collision Course
The dream matchup is now in place. Only pesky Auburn stands in the way of the league having two undefeated teams in the SEC Championship Game on December 5, 2009. While it is unlikely that Auburn will win, you never know what might happen in the Iron Bowl. One thing's for sure-the entire State of Alabama will be watching, as will most Gator fans.
The Florida-Bama matchup is certainly an intriguing one, but I'd have to peg Florida the predominant favorite heading in, as I just don't see Greg McElroy beating the Florida defense, and I certainly don't see the officials pulling anything fishy on such a large stage. Conversely, I see Tebow gashing the Alabama front seven for big gains, in the biggest game of his career-and one that could solidify a record-tying second Heisman-ironically stealing it from the clutches of Bama running star, Mark Ingram.
Georgia's Richt Finds Solace, Breathing Room, in Auburn Victory
Just as Les Miles would love to have a victory over Ole Miss this weekend in Oxford, Mark Richt wanted a victory over Auburn this past Saturday. Richt got his in dramatic fashion, a 31-24 conquest of the Tigers in what is still the South's oldest football rivalry. Richt undoubtedly savored the win. Couple it with Tennessee's whipping at the hands of the Ole Miss Rebels, 42-17, and you realize that Georgia is LSU's counterpart--the East's second-best team, which isn't too shabby when you consider the top teams.
SEC Officials Taking Huge Hits
Unlike last season, 2009 won't be considered a down year for SEC Football. However, it will undoubtedly be a down year for SEC officiating, as the league referees have reached a new nadir in terms of incompetence, ignorance and/or partiality. Their credibility goes hand-in-hand with the credibility of the league, and right now both are firmly in question; and Mike Slive of course fiddles as Birmingham goes up in flames.
Chris Warner is a double graduate of LSU. He is the co-author of the best-selling book in Alabama, "The Wagon to Disaster,” the untold story of HealthSouth Corporation, by Aaron Beam. Buy it at Books-A-Million or Amazon.com.
Category: LSU Sports
Tags: LSU Football
Official BCS Thread - 11/15/09 | Posted on All things BCS by lsumatt on Nov 15, 2009 at 8:55 pm | | |
BCS Standings
LSU needs help, but still has a legit chance at a BCS bowl if they win out. They would likely be a shoe-in, if it weren’t for the “max 2 teams per conference” rule, but that is the rule. If Bama slips up against Auburn and then again to Florida, LSU would likely get the BCS invite despite Bama’s head-to-head victory. The Sugar (or any bowl) wouldn’t want a Bama team that just lost 2 games (and went to the Sugar the previous year). Florida would be in a similar position if they lose two…but Florida might be more likely than Bama to get the nod over LSU. Otherwise a 10-2 LSU team goes to the Cap one Bowl and at 9-3 likely the Cap One or Cotton.
The National Championship picture is clear for now: Texas vs. SEC Champ, but could get fuzzy if Texas chokes to A&M or the Big12 CG. TCU is currently in 3rd, but I am fairly confident Cincy passes them with a win over Pitt. It is already close and it is the one big win Cincy is missing. Cincinnati played in a very respectable Big East this year with a decent OOC schedule.
Georgia Tech is sitting at #7, unnoticed. But they are a serious darkhorse imo. Ga Tech plays 3 SEC teams OOC, with Georgia left as well as the ACC CG. If Texas and Cincy BOTH lose, Ga Tech could make it interesting. They would almost definitely pass Boise, and while TCU probably edges them out, it might be close. My pecking order:
1. Undefeated SEC
2. Undefeated Texas
3. Undefeated Cincinnati
4. Undefeated TCU
5. 1-loss Ga Tech
6. 1-loss SEC (It is really tough to tell what would happen if Bama lost to Auburn and then beat Florida; I think their computer score keeps them low but they could be much higher than I am giving them credit for)
7. Undefeated Boise
Thoughts? I may move this to the MSB in the coming weeks.
Category: LSU Sports
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Latest LSU News & Discussion No. 10 LSU (8-2, 4-2) will be back in action on Saturday when they travel to Oxford, MS to face unranked Ole Miss (7-3, 3-3) in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. The game, which will be televised by CBS, will kickoff at 2:30pm CT. Check the Oxford, MS Weekend Weather Forecast.
LSU owns a 55-38-4 series record over Ole Miss. Ole Miss beat the Tigers last year in Baton Rouge, 31-13. Before that, LSU had won the previous six matchups. Click here to see the LSU/Ole Miss series history. Additionally, click here to read predictions for the game on the Tiger Rant.
Notes: We have re-opened the popular Coaching Changes Board. This board will be used for analyzing vacancies/candidates, tracking flights, and letting you know if Terri Saban is in town to look for real estate.
Friday News Links:
Outback Bowl may be in mix for LSU
Hoops: Knee injury may end Farrer's season
Baseball: Nola's two doubles help Gold win World Series
Thursday News Links:
LSU's Jefferson will start barring relapse
Rebels defense big concern for LSU
LSU bracing for Ole Miss running back Dexter McCluster
Hoops: Warren, LSU taking winning streak to New York
Wednesday News Links:
A look inside LSU's 107th ranked offense
Keiland Williams looking to end career on a high note
McCluster is everything LSU wants Shepard to be
LSU Notes: Ole Miss quarterback also nursing ankle injury
DE Lavar Edwards delivers in first home start
Hoops: LSU defeats WKU, heads to Madison Square Garden | Discuss
Tuesday News Links:
Former WR Dwayne Bowe suspended four games by NFL
Miles glad to have Jefferson back
LSU set to face shifty McCluster at Ole Miss
Miles scolds booing fans again
Hoops: Tigers beat Indiana State, 56-45
Monday News Links:
ESPN to televise LSU/Arkansas game at 6pm CT on Nov. 28
LSU could possibly make BCS bowl if Bama stumbles
LSU's game plan vs. Louisiana Tech puzzling
LSU offense can't find groove
Guilbeau: LSU fans have right play call
Rosetta: Tigers can't afford to look back on Tech
LSU's Williams picks up the slack
Sunday News Links:
LSU moves to No. 10 in Coaches' Poll | Discuss
Big second half gives Tigers win
LSU's Williams takes Scott's advice
LSU coaches to blame for QB's performance
LSU notes: Louisiana Tech stuns LSU early
Tech gashes LSU run defense
LSU/Louisiana Tech Box Score
Category: LSU Sports
Tags: LSU Football
Off-Season Baseball News (including pics of Omaha's new stadium) | Posted on LSU Baseball Blog by ProjectP2294 on Nov 13, 2009 at 1:59 pm | | |
Home of future LSU National Championships - from Yahoo Sports
I know it's from last month, but Coach Mainieri sat down for an interview with collegebaseballtoday.com's Eric Sorenson. Here's how it went: LINK
In team news, Kendall Rogers of Yahoo Sports discusses LSU's Five Keys to the Fall: LINK
And also, baseballdraftreport.com talks a little about LSU's outfield depth, and also talks briefly about 2010 opponent Kansas (who have the best looking hats in college baseball seen here and here) LINK
On an individual front, both Anthony Ranaudo and Leon Landry were lauded recently for their talent.
According to Baseball Rumor Mill Ranaudo rates as the third best draft prospect, behind the real-life incarnation of Roy Hobbs, Bryce Harper, and Texas high school phenom Jameson Taillon. LINK
Leon Landry has been named number 91 in College Baseball Blog's top 100 players for the 2010 season. Landry's blurb. I'm sure he won't be the only LSU player on that list. They've gotten to number 69 so far: whole list
Enjoy the links, and everyone who hasn't seen it yet, check out Adam4848's blog post from signing day listing all of the teams signees from the early signing period that started this week. Somewhere in the thread is a link to the Recruiting Thread with stats, bios, videos, etc. That thread will be updated soon to add some of the players who haven't been profiled yet.
And good luck to the Basketball Tigers tonight!
Category: LSU Sports
Tags: LSU Baseball
TUbaMonteCarloLatoratron - Statistical Analysis of Les's 2 pt Conversion - Les was RIGHT | Posted on The TUba Top 101 by SpidermanTUba on Nov 12, 2009 at 2:19 pm | | |
I stand corrected from my assertion in a previous thread that Les's decision to go for 2 was boneheaded.
A rigorous statistical analysis reveals otherwise.
The assumptions in the analysis are:
The probability of a successful 2 pt conversion attempt is the league average of 45.6%
The probability of a successful 1 pt conversion attempt is the league average of 95.7%
The probability of both LSU and Alabama scoring a given number of TD's and FG's over a period of game time is the same as the probability of these scores over the previous games based on the data from the previous 8 games. The probability of scoring a safety was a taken as the league average of 5% per game, since before the Bama game, neither team had scored a safety.
Based on these assumptions, the TUbaMonteCarloLatoratron reveals that with 3:19 to go in the third quarter and up by 5, the chances of winning the game in regulation by attempting a 1 point conversion are 62.9%, while the chances of winning the game on a 2 point conversion are 64.5%.. The chances of the game being tied at the end of regulation are 3.9% in either case.
It should be noted that a risk neutral perspective is also assumed. In football terms this may be called "aggressive" ... but ... from a purely statistical standpoint, Les Mile's decision to go for 2 points was a slightly better investment in the rest of the game than going for 1 point.
GEAUX TIGERS
and GEAUX HAT
Category: LSU Sports
LSU Baseball inks 16 signees | Posted on LSU Baseball Blog by Adam4848 on Nov 11, 2009 at 10:44 pm | | |
 Garin Cecchini
Lucas LeBlanc OF (Delgado Community College, LA)
Kurt McCune P (Destrehan HS, LA)
Kevin Gausman P (Grandview HS, CO)
Nick Rumbelow P (Bullard HS, TX)
Jacoby Jones INF (Richton HS, MS)
Ty Ross C (Barron Collier, FL)
Ryan Eades P (Northshore HS, LA)
Mitchell Hopkins P (LSU-Eunice, LA)
Garin Cecchini SS (Barbe HS, LA)
Josh Burris OF/P (Scotlandville HS, LA)
Kevin Koziol SS (Brother Rice HS, IL)
Marcus Davis OF (Princeton HS, OH)
Joe Broussard P (Holy Cross HS, LA)
Austin Southall OF (University HS, LA)
Jackson Slaid C (Lakeside HS, LA)
Cameron Bedrosian P (East Coweta HS, GA)
Players by state
Louisiana-9
Texas-1
Ohio-1
Colorado-1
Georgia-1
Illinios-1
Florida-1
Mississippi-1
Category: LSU Sports
TUba Top 101 - LSU's chances of going to title game = 0.64% (down from 3%) | Posted on The TUba Top 101 by SpidermanTUba on Nov 9, 2009 at 2:50 pm | | |
Possibilities -
1. Texas loses two or more games (23% chance)
2. Cincinatti loses two or more games (31% chance)
3. Alabama loses two or more games (31% chance)
4. Florida loses two or more games (23% chance)
5. Boise State loses one or more games (71% chance)
6. TCU loses one or more games (61% chance)
7. Georgia Tech loses one or more games (70% chance)
8. LSU wins out (30% chance)
If at least 6 of the top 7 occur, and #8 occurs, the circumstances will be ripe for an LSU in the title game. I'm not saying it'd be definite - but it would be a big possibility. Especially if the consensus amongst pollsters is that the SEC officials in the LSU-Alabama game were not exactly fair.
The chances of 6 or 7 out of #1-#7 happening are 2.10%
The chances of LSU winning out are 30.36%
Multiply those two numbers and you get 0.64%
Category: LSU Sports
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