re: Our RPI is 33 with 2 SEC series left to play

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Florida legitimately might end the season with a sub .500 record which disqualifies them from the NCAAT

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I didn't know this if it's true

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Taking the series from T&M was huge. It most likely did save our season

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It gave us a chance, for sure, but got to close it out strong, or it means nothing

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If

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is the middle word in life…

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Don't forget the Arky game 2 that went to extra innings after they blew the lead

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Yeah, but that was a road game against a consensus Top 5 team. Same as the Tennessee series. Would be a nice feather in your cap, doesn't hurt to lose.

The Florida and Vandy losses cause huge, seismic shifts. Win those games, and forget official SEC standings, the perception is that LSU is equal/better than those teams, so we'd not be scrambling and anxious about an invite. We'd be likely viewed the same as South Carolina, Miss State and currently UGA- very good teams in the mix to host a regional, just not quite as good as the top teams.
Vandy is currently on the very bottom edge of that category, slightly ahead of Bama. If we took those two games, we jump both those teams in the pecking order.

We will jump Bama if we take that series, but I don't think we can catch Vandy. They will have the better record in conference, and took the series at our place. So however they end up, we're gonna be just a tick behind, no matter what.

We also need to root for Texas, ULL, and Xavier.

Everyone else we played as well, but those are the ones that can help us the most by winning.

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Some years

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it’s who will buy 15,000 tickets for a regional…

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We can win 2 games in a regional…3? Less than 5% chance

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I will disagree 100% with this.

We may not win Game 1-> game 2-> game 3; that's the one that corresponds to the 3rd game in the series, that we usually get run-ruled in.

But if we win 1 and ONE of 2/3, then we're at 1 loss, going into an elimination game against somebody's midweek pitchers. And with White, Jones and Travinski, game 4 is going to be a hard thing to put us away. In fact, the deeper we go, the more it shifts to our favor, because outside of Kling, our bats can dominate midweek guys and the bottom of the bullpen. And who knows, maybe Kling flips the switch next after Little has.

The short version is this: if you draw THIS LSU team in your regional, you want to knock them out quickly. You don't want them to win 2 of the first 3 games.

Win these last 2 series and we are in IMO

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It doesn't matter if we get in as a 2 seed or a 3.

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Would much rather play our way into a 2 seed tho

Wouldnt you rather match up with a 3 seed?

Hell, depending on the match up we could throw off vs the 3 and save Holman/Jump for the marble/championship games

No way that’s is happening. He threw Skenes in game 1 vs Tulane who had one of the worst records (19-40) of all time of any team to make the ncaa tournament.

LSU's ability to sell out Alex Box is irrelevant in considering whether we make the NCAA Ty or not. Under no scenario would any Regional be hosted in BR.