- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
re: Our RPI is 33 with 2 SEC series left to play
Posted on 5/6/24 at 1:32 pm to wheelz007
Posted on 5/6/24 at 1:32 pm to wheelz007
1. Even though there is technically no "cap" on the amount of teams from one conference that can reach the NCAA Tournament, I think it is reasonable to assume the committee won't take more than 10...if that.
2. Order of finish in the conference standings is completely irrelevant to the committee. Pretty much the same for the conference tournament as well (unless you win it). So LSU's tournament "resume" will likely be set after the Ole Miss series.
3. RPI is a tool used by the committee, but not the ultimate deciding factor. Meaning just because LSU gets to a certain number doesn't mean they are automatically in.
Taking all of that into account, I think we can pretty much assume these SEC teams are in:
A&M
Kentucky
Arkansas
Tennessee
Georgia
South Carolina
Mississippi St.
These two are not 100% locks, but probably pretty close to it:
Alabama
Vanderbilt
That leaves these three teams fighting for what will be 1 MAYBE 2 spots.
Florida
Ole Miss
LSU
I would say, today, LSU is behind Florida in the pecking order. Florida has the No. 1 SOS and 11th best non-conf. SOS. They've also won 10 games vs Q1 opponents
What is hurting LSU (aside from their poor SEC performance) is their non-conf. schedule isn't great (and will get worse tomorrow) and, until this past weekend, LSU has very few "good" wins. To add a little context, A&M has 11 Q1 wins. Kentucky has 17; Arkansas has 12, Georgia has 9, Tennessee has 11, Alabama has 11, Florida has 10, Ole Miss has 9.
LSU has FOUR (4)
If you take off the P&G glasses there is very little impressive about LSU's resume. That's the bad news. The good news is the season isn't over and LSU kept their hopes alive in a BIG way this weekend. If they can follow up this weekend by taking 2 from Alabama and 2 from Ole Miss, the will put themselves in position to be the 10th team taken from the SEC...if the committee takes 10, along with having an argument to be the 9th team if the committee takes 9. However, I don't think going 4-2 over the next 6 games makes LSU a "lock" by any stretch. It probably gives them a 50/50 shot. Anything worse than 4-2 and it will be panic time.
2. Order of finish in the conference standings is completely irrelevant to the committee. Pretty much the same for the conference tournament as well (unless you win it). So LSU's tournament "resume" will likely be set after the Ole Miss series.
3. RPI is a tool used by the committee, but not the ultimate deciding factor. Meaning just because LSU gets to a certain number doesn't mean they are automatically in.
Taking all of that into account, I think we can pretty much assume these SEC teams are in:
A&M
Kentucky
Arkansas
Tennessee
Georgia
South Carolina
Mississippi St.
These two are not 100% locks, but probably pretty close to it:
Alabama
Vanderbilt
That leaves these three teams fighting for what will be 1 MAYBE 2 spots.
Florida
Ole Miss
LSU
I would say, today, LSU is behind Florida in the pecking order. Florida has the No. 1 SOS and 11th best non-conf. SOS. They've also won 10 games vs Q1 opponents
What is hurting LSU (aside from their poor SEC performance) is their non-conf. schedule isn't great (and will get worse tomorrow) and, until this past weekend, LSU has very few "good" wins. To add a little context, A&M has 11 Q1 wins. Kentucky has 17; Arkansas has 12, Georgia has 9, Tennessee has 11, Alabama has 11, Florida has 10, Ole Miss has 9.
LSU has FOUR (4)
If you take off the P&G glasses there is very little impressive about LSU's resume. That's the bad news. The good news is the season isn't over and LSU kept their hopes alive in a BIG way this weekend. If they can follow up this weekend by taking 2 from Alabama and 2 from Ole Miss, the will put themselves in position to be the 10th team taken from the SEC...if the committee takes 10, along with having an argument to be the 9th team if the committee takes 9. However, I don't think going 4-2 over the next 6 games makes LSU a "lock" by any stretch. It probably gives them a 50/50 shot. Anything worse than 4-2 and it will be panic time.
6
Posted on 5/6/24 at 2:01 pm to Alt26
Your excellent breakdown has me thinking that we will be left out. Why do I feel this way? I don't think we can beat Bama 2 out of 3 at their place and I don't think we can sweep OM at home. Also think we will need to win at least 2 games in the SEC Tourney. Also, who wins the conference tourneys in the mid major tourneys might cause us to be left out as well
Posted on 5/6/24 at 2:29 pm to Alt26
I would think winning the next 2 series would get our RPI in the high 20’s. With 5 series wins, including 5 in a row, we should at least be a 3 seed somewhere
Posted on 5/6/24 at 3:00 pm to Alt26
quote:
Florida Ole Miss LSU
Florida legitimately might end the season with a sub .500 record which disqualifies them from the NCAAT unless they win the SECT. They have Kentucky at home and Georgia on the road to finish the season and they’re 24-23 right now. Would love to see them go 3-6 to finish the season off.
Posted on 5/6/24 at 3:39 pm to Alt26
quote:
I would say, today, LSU is behind Florida in the pecking order. Florida has the No. 1 SOS and 11th best non-conf. SOS. They've also won 10 games vs Q1 opponents
Florida is (10-14) 24-23 and playing UCF 23-24,as their last OOC and Kentucky 35-10 (18-6), and @Georgia 35-12 (13-11) in the last two series. They need to go 3-4 in those last 7 games to be .500. AS I understand it, If they get swept in one and lose the other series they cannot qualify for the NCAA tournament invitation without winning the SECT due to having a losing record. They are in a more precarious position than LSU in many ways. They could also easily end up 12-18 in the SEC.
Posted on 5/7/24 at 12:51 pm to Alt26
quote:
That leaves these three teams fighting for what will be 1 MAYBE 2 spots.
Florida
Ole Miss
LSU
I would just like to add, frick Florida.
Posted on 5/7/24 at 3:17 pm to Alt26
I can be more definitive. Lose either of the next two series and they can pack the gear away. There won't be a postseason. Not sweeping Auburn and Missouri has put them in this position. It's not impossible, but it's going to be tough.
This post was edited on 5/7/24 at 3:22 pm
Page 1 of 1
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News