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Interest on the debt is 60% of the Amount taken in by the Treasury in February

Posted on 5/9/24 at 9:01 pm
Posted by RiverCityTider
Jacksonville, Florida
Member since Oct 2008
4429 posts
Posted on 5/9/24 at 9:01 pm
Next year interest will be one trillion. And with higher rates and 8 trillion in bonds soon to be refinanced, it's going to get worse fast.

By 2030, we're looking at 1.5 trillion.

We are screwed and there is no solution. Take all other threats together (except maybe thermo-nuclear war) and they aren't one tenth the risk of this.



We are still at historically low rates. So this will get worse and worse as we refinance at higher rates.

To solve this the right way, we would need to gut discretionary spending and half defense spending.

There is no way they will have the balls to do that.

So regardless of what you hear from the fed, they will ultimately monetize the debt and rely on inflation to take care of the problem.

So we have to have an alternative to the dollar. The dollar is dying. There is no stopping it. We're going to see inflation and sluggish growth (stagnation) for a couple of generations.

Buy Gold. BRICs will ultimately go to a gold backed currency. Central banks are buying gold. Some nations are offering gold backed accounts. Demand is increasing.


Posted by TerryDawg03
The Deep South
Member since Dec 2012
15762 posts
Posted on 5/9/24 at 9:02 pm to
Sounds like the script from a talk radio ad.
Posted by RiverCityTider
Jacksonville, Florida
Member since Oct 2008
4429 posts
Posted on 5/9/24 at 9:05 pm to
Well it's true. It's an insolvable problem.

The gold part is my take. What do you think?
This post was edited on 5/9/24 at 9:05 pm
Posted by faraway
Member since Nov 2022
2087 posts
Posted on 5/9/24 at 9:08 pm to
we're going off a cliff at some point. no question about if, only when. people just want to be delusional as long as they can.
Posted by Thundercles
Mars
Member since Sep 2010
5088 posts
Posted on 5/9/24 at 9:12 pm to
There's only two outcomes:

1 Money isn't real and we can provide infinite goods to everyone so why bother with jobs and taxes?

2 Money is very real and we've built this massive tinder box of debt that will come crashing down in a catastrophic manner
Posted by theRealJesseD
Member since Nov 2021
2908 posts
Posted on 5/9/24 at 9:13 pm to
Its a tale as old as time
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
51771 posts
Posted on 5/9/24 at 9:14 pm to
quote:

Next year interest will be one trillion.


Too late. Last year's interest was 1.025T. From that point onward, it will continue to be over $1T until the currency crumbles under the weight of so much debt.
Posted by SloaneRanger
Upper Hurstville
Member since Jan 2014
7814 posts
Posted on 5/9/24 at 9:15 pm to
Take it to the Money Board. You will find a whole cohort of posters who will tell you that this isn't a problem at all.
Posted by FLTech
the A
Member since Sep 2017
12607 posts
Posted on 5/9/24 at 9:16 pm to
There is no way they will have the balls to do that.

Trump and Vivek will
Posted by RiverCityTider
Jacksonville, Florida
Member since Oct 2008
4429 posts
Posted on 5/9/24 at 9:16 pm to
So why are we continuing on with this bad arse globalist foreign policy when they know damn well we can't afford a trillion a year for defense.
Posted by Revelator
Member since Nov 2008
58123 posts
Posted on 5/9/24 at 9:16 pm to
Willie Wonka opines on government spending!

Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
118924 posts
Posted on 5/9/24 at 9:16 pm to
quote:

Interest on the debt is 60% of the Amount taken in by the Treasury in February


Not that this is much of a consolation but the interest on the debt is a little less because the interest the Federal Reserve makes on Treasury Bonds they purchased with printed money is returned to the Treasury after expenses.

The Federal Reserve has about $7 trillion in Treasury Bonds they purchased with printed money.
This post was edited on 5/9/24 at 9:17 pm
Posted by RiverCityTider
Jacksonville, Florida
Member since Oct 2008
4429 posts
Posted on 5/9/24 at 9:19 pm to
quote:

Trump and Vivek will


I don't think they could get the necessary spending cuts through congress.

Highly unlikely.

Bet on inflation.
Posted by VoxDawg
Glory, Glory
Member since Sep 2012
60403 posts
Posted on 5/9/24 at 9:20 pm to
The amount taken in by the Treasury is immaterial. It's all based on the US' willingness to enforce our fiat currency as the world's reserve notes under threat of force from the US Military.

Stop asking about what we're going to do about the national debt and start asking about who the national debt is owed to.
Posted by RiverCityTider
Jacksonville, Florida
Member since Oct 2008
4429 posts
Posted on 5/9/24 at 9:23 pm to
quote:

The Federal Reserve has about $7 trillion in Treasury Bonds they purchased with printed money


Yea, alot of that was covid in 20-21. The money supply went way way up. There is usually an 18 to 36 month lag between that and inflation.

Since then they have been restricting the money supply. But that can't continue.
Posted by RiverCityTider
Jacksonville, Florida
Member since Oct 2008
4429 posts
Posted on 5/9/24 at 9:27 pm to
quote:

The amount taken in by the Treasury is immaterial. It's all based on the US' willingness to enforce our fiat currency as the world's reserve notes under threat of force from the US Military.


Well the answer to that is we can't do that anymore. In fact, our aggressive foreign policy has caused the hold on reserve currency status to weaken further. Something like 58% of trade transactions are dollar denominated. It used to be much higher.

The US military won't save us. It's overrated anyway.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
118924 posts
Posted on 5/9/24 at 9:34 pm to
quote:

Yea, alot of that was covid in 20-21.


When Trump took office the FR balance sheet was ~$4.2 trillion.

Just before COVID the balance sheet was naturally winding down. It reached a near term low of ~3.8 trillion.

COVID happened and the FR printed money (via congressional appropriations) to bring up their balance sheet to about $7.1 trillion and that was under near ZIRP conditions.

Biden entered and with congress they kept spending to force the FR to print more and rose the balance sheet to ~$8.4 trillion.

Now the FR is trying to sell thus making bonds cheaper with higher yields which impacts all market interest rate products. It's called tightening and the FR has been able to sell off assets to bring their current balance sheet level to ~$7.4 trillion.

Currently they can't sell too fast or they will overshoot their stated interest rate policy goal.
Posted by stuntman
Florida
Member since Jan 2013
9118 posts
Posted on 5/9/24 at 9:37 pm to
quote:


Not that this is much of a consolation but the interest on the debt is a little less because the interest the Federal Reserve makes on Treasury Bonds they purchased with printed money is returned to the Treasury after expenses.

The Federal Reserve has about $7 trillion in Treasury Bonds they purchased with printed money.


Well, uh, now they are basically sending the treasury IOUs.

What a slope!
Posted by gmac8604
Green Bay, WI
Member since Jun 2012
1109 posts
Posted on 5/9/24 at 9:42 pm to
How exactly do we have debt when we print our own currency? Why do we pick and choose when we inject/remove currency from circulation? Sounds like this has been planned in advance.
Posted by saint tiger225
San Diego
Member since Jan 2011
36231 posts
Posted on 5/9/24 at 9:45 pm to
quote:

there is no solution.

I have an idea! How about we have 2 of the biggest spending presidents in history run against each other again. Surely, that'll help!
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