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Levi Cowan released his video on the upcoming hurricane season...

Posted on 5/20/24 at 10:06 am
Posted by alphaandomega
Tuscaloosa
Member since Aug 2012
13658 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 10:06 am



Levi seems to be one of the better weather guessers. He lays out his thoughts on the upcoming season with facts and logic. He isnt one of those people who says "we are all going to die", he isnt after clicks.

Video is about 15 minutes but a good listen. What I took away from it was he (as well as most other meteorologists) think this will be an active season but nobody can guess how many storms will make landfall.

Im hoping for a lot of fish storms and no landfalls but we all need to be prepared for the worst.

This post was edited on 5/20/24 at 10:23 am
Posted by LSUfan4444
Member since Mar 2004
53974 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 10:08 am to
My neighbor used to be a meteorologists for one of the big stations down in NOLA and although he's got another career now, he still does it for a hobby and told me the same thing.

His fear is that the return of what should be another brutally hot summer combined with the presence of the storm could generate a monster.
Posted by nicholastiger
Member since Jan 2004
43290 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 10:17 am to
We also need that dome of Saharan dust to develop and linger
Posted by jaytothen
Member since Jan 2020
6447 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 10:18 am to
quote:

brutally hot summer combined with the presence of the storm could generate a monster.


If it's brutally hot that means high pressure and sinking air generally. Not good conditions to create hurricanes, a monster one, or have one hit the area. See last summer.
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
116329 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 10:19 am to
quote:

We also need that dome of Saharan dust to develop and linger



I love Saharan Dust
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
42995 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 10:21 am to
quote:

I am not sure how to imbed the video

Copy the link to the tweet and when making your post click the < > symbol to the right of the text box. Paste your link there.

Posted by alphaandomega
Tuscaloosa
Member since Aug 2012
13658 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 10:23 am to
Thank you. I edited OP.
Posted by LSUfan4444
Member since Mar 2004
53974 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 10:25 am to
He wasn't insinuating that he was expecting "last summer" highs, only that our summers can be incredibly warm and a an incredibly warm gulf paired with an active storm season is = no good.

Posted by texag7
College Station
Member since Apr 2014
37600 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 10:25 am to
quote:

we all need to be prepared for the worst.


They say this every year. A couple years in a row back there was literally nothing after they predicted the worst ever in back to back years
Posted by Thracken13
Aft Cargo Hold of Serenity
Member since Feb 2010
16129 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 10:35 am to
well yeah they say it every year - if you aren't preparing for potentially the worst, you are doing it wrong. all it takes is to not take it seriously, and the universe will go in dry.

my wife asked why I was always severe weather focused here in Birmingham, especially about tornadoes - she said we haven't seen one close in forever - then we had one 3/4 of a mile from our apartment when the one went through the south area of 280 in Brook Highland/Eagle Point.
Posted by SWLA92
SWLA
Member since Feb 2015
2026 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 10:37 am to
After the brutal hurricane season of 2005 we went til 2017 until the tropics ramped back up, and since then it’s been pretty active. I hope we get into a drought for the next decade but this season looks like it wants to continue the active pattern b
Posted by Willie Stroker
Member since Sep 2008
13044 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 10:39 am to
quote:

We also need that dome of Saharan dust to develop and linger


Agreed. Let the carpet bombing of that region commence.
Posted by SWLA92
SWLA
Member since Feb 2015
2026 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 10:40 am to
He really dumbs it down for people like us to understand. He’s the best there is out there when it comes to be informative.
Posted by Tomherman
Member since Sep 2016
1504 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 10:47 am to
I hate Saharan dust. But I love the way it smells.
Posted by lion
Member since Aug 2016
775 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 10:50 am to
Update for the meteorologists: the gulf is hot every single year.
Posted by Motorboat
At the camp
Member since Oct 2007
22728 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 10:54 am to
quote:

fish storms


BINGO!
Posted by Sao
East Texas Piney Woods
Member since Jun 2009
65974 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 11:01 am to


Posted by Fat and Happy
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2013
17081 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 11:04 am to
Gonna be some fun party time when work is closed for several days.
Posted by Purple Spoon
Hoth
Member since Feb 2005
17957 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 11:27 am to
I think we will have a cooler summer than last year and a lot more rain. Probably too much.

Predicting landfalls is literally guesswork but in post el Nino years we have had plenty of storms.
Posted by Tarps99
Lafourche Parish
Member since Apr 2017
7608 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 12:03 pm to
quote:

After the brutal hurricane season of 2005 we went til 2017 until the tropics ramped back up, and since then it’s been pretty active. I hope we get into a drought for the next decade but this season looks like it wants to continue the active pattern b



Here is the list of storms that hit SELA in that time period.
2008 we had Gustav and Ike
2011 we had Tropical Storm Lee
2012 we had Hurricane Isaac that stayed over SELA for a week
2013 through 2016 were pretty quiet

2017 it cranked back up with Harvey and others
2019 Barry
2020 was crazy Laura, Delta, Zeta
2021 Ida
2022-2023 quiet

So here is to a 3rd year of hoping that all storms stay out to sea and away from SELA.

But as with all statistics, the cards eventually will not fall our way. So if we do have to deal with one, hopefully the impacts are weak and we are just making fun of our weather soothsayers.
This post was edited on 5/20/24 at 12:05 pm
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