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Derby Draw

Posted on 4/27/24 at 6:50 pm
Posted by Mizzou68
Member since Nov 2013
135 posts
Posted on 4/27/24 at 6:50 pm
This is the year for post position 17 to break the jinx. Fierceness!
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
106125 posts
Posted on 4/27/24 at 7:16 pm to
The stupid live feed went out on me.

I don’t trust fierceness. He runs a clunker every other race, and he’s up for one. Plus, he needs the lead. As do several others. Gonna have to be used from 17 to get there. I see a 22-23 second opening quarter coming.

I’m happy about that. I miss the days of graded stakes earnings as qualifiers so we’d get a few sprinters. Thank god we won’t get a merry go round race this year.
Posted by SeeeeK
some where
Member since Sep 2012
28066 posts
Posted on 4/27/24 at 7:32 pm to
assmussen horses look like doo doo, i'd be shocked if 1 hit the board


Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
106125 posts
Posted on 4/27/24 at 7:38 pm to
Those are 2 that are definitely being sent.

I’m pissed my horse is the wise guy this year. I’ve been on honor marie since fall.
Posted by Mizzou68
Member since Nov 2013
135 posts
Posted on 4/27/24 at 7:49 pm to
That’s true. I was at the Holy Bull and was disappointed. He looked great in the Florida Derby. Hopefully he maintains that form. We’ll see Saturday. Wish Sierra Leonne hadn’t drawn the 1.
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
106125 posts
Posted on 4/27/24 at 7:52 pm to
He got the 2. But he’ll be standing in the gate a looong time. If he found the bluegrass crowd to be hard to deal with… I’m not sure how this will go. Hopefully he doesn’t flip.

While the 1 is not ideal, it’s not as bad as it used to be with the two starting gates.

I look at fierceness like I look at men… untrustworthy

If he beats me, he beats me. But I’ll take that chance.
Posted by SeeeeK
some where
Member since Sep 2012
28066 posts
Posted on 4/27/24 at 7:56 pm to
quote:

I’ve been on honor marie since fall.


damn, i was looking at that 20/1 and starting to look at him more

i hate having wise guy horse, it never wins for me,


hell, i was between 2 horses 1 year, and drf did a comment about every horse and it's strength, but left out sea hero, that locked me in.
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
106125 posts
Posted on 4/27/24 at 7:59 pm to
I’m going to continue to stay loyal to him, but it is the kiss of death.

I think we see catching freedom up a little closer in a stalking position. Somewhere in the first 1/3 of the field. I’ll use him. Encino looked very good working but I still kinda feel like he’s a rabbit here.
Posted by Mizzou68
Member since Nov 2013
135 posts
Posted on 4/27/24 at 8:00 pm to
Can’t wait until Saturday. Would love to see Coach win Friday with Lemon Muffin but doubt that will happen.
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
106125 posts
Posted on 4/27/24 at 8:04 pm to
Hell, I’d like to see Keith win it!

Back in my previous life I’d see him in the trainers lounge as a kid all the time. Now I feel old
Posted by ChestRockwell
In the heart of horse country
Member since Jul 2021
2811 posts
Posted on 4/27/24 at 11:15 pm to
Pass for me. Horse has never ran great in back to back races. Glad to see the LA bred mare is in the La Troienne on Friday. Touted her in the Apple Blossom at huge odds, and ran a good 3rd . Aspy, is Chasey , Carl Deville daughter? Also Ova Charged is in the 6th the same day. Good to see some nice LA bred hores taking a swing at open company.
This post was edited on 4/27/24 at 11:19 pm
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
106125 posts
Posted on 4/28/24 at 1:31 am to
I’m not sure why they haven’t tried her in open company before. Her numbers more than fit and Evelyn usually doesn’t shy away.

I thought touchuponastar ran great on la derby day. I hope he gets more chances too.

No idea on Chasey. I’ve been out of the loop for so long now.
Posted by Hayekian serf
GA
Member since Dec 2020
2565 posts
Posted on 4/28/24 at 9:31 am to
Great post for the favorite. If he was inside I was going to toss him. Now he is a heavy favorite in my book.

Love the post for

Honor Marie

I have a 65-1 future on him. Feeling good.

And this may be the year the Japanese horse makes some noise. He has the other Japanese horse to his left who is almost certainly going to race to the lead from the break.

Posted by Speedy G
Member since Aug 2013
3902 posts
Posted on 4/28/24 at 10:18 am to
1 Dornoch (20-1)
2 Sierra Leone (3-1)
3 Mystik Dan (20-1)
4 Catching Freedom (8-1)
5 Catalytic (30-1)
6 Just Steel (20-1)
7 Honor Marie (20-1)
8 Just a Touch (10-1)
9 Encino (20-1)
10 T O Password (30-1)
11 Forever Young (10-1)
12 Track Phantom (20-1)
13 West Saratoga (50-1)
14 Endlessly (30-1)
15 Domestic Product (30-1)
16 Grand Mo the First (50-1)
17 Fierceness (5/2)
18 Stronghold (20-1)
19 Resilience (20-1)
20 Society Man (50-1)
This post was edited on 4/28/24 at 4:36 pm
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
106125 posts
Posted on 4/28/24 at 10:24 am to
Just steel looked very stiff up front galloping yesterday and looked the same getting warmed up to work today. Lukas said he wanted him to go a touch faster than he did this morning. I wonder if he becomes our first defection in a few days? It was a Lukas scratch that got rich strike in a few years ago.
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
106125 posts
Posted on 4/28/24 at 10:25 am to
I think we have been cursed on marie. I hope not.
Posted by Hayekian serf
GA
Member since Dec 2020
2565 posts
Posted on 4/29/24 at 4:55 am to
quote:

think we have been cursed on marie. I hope not.


I know. He’s the talk of the town now and it’s driving me crazy. I think he’s poised to run a big one. I have a nice future on catching freedom as well.

Then I look at Sierra Leone and think if he were to get into a fist fight with all the other horses he could take them.

With the favorite I won’t be shocked if he wins by five lengths or finishes outside the top ten.

But he drew a great post.
Posted by ronricks
Member since Mar 2021
6847 posts
Posted on 4/29/24 at 6:25 am to
Is Baffert still banned?
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
106125 posts
Posted on 4/29/24 at 9:11 am to
Yes. Because he’s an arrogant narcissistic prick who won’t shut up.

If he’d just accepted responsibility he would have just had whatever short suspension the Kentucky racing commission handed down. His by proxy lawsuit this month probably pissed off churchill enough to get him at least another year. Hopefully final destination takes care of him before he’s allowed back. That heart attack in dubai should have killed him.

Don’t drive behind any log trucks, Mr baffert.
This post was edited on 4/29/24 at 9:12 am
Posted by Hayekian serf
GA
Member since Dec 2020
2565 posts
Posted on 4/29/24 at 9:22 am to
quote:

That heart attack in dubai should have killed him.



Damn
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