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Should I sell or hold Chipotle (CMG)

Posted on 5/6/24 at 3:23 pm
Posted by Roscoe14
Member since Jul 2021
175 posts
Posted on 5/6/24 at 3:23 pm
Done pretty well with CMG over the past four years or so. But 14% of its restaurants are in California and the recent rise in the minimum wage for fast food restaurants (whose owner's aren't the governor's friends) has forced it to raise prices in that state. Maybe it is time to dump?
On the other hand, there is a 50 to 1 stock split on the horizon. So maybe hold on for a bit?
Decisions, decisions . . .
Posted by CecilShortsHisPants
One Foty Fo uh uh Magnolia Screet
Member since Oct 2012
2865 posts
Posted on 5/6/24 at 5:23 pm to
Would you buy more right now at this price if you had the cash to do so?
If yes, then hold.
If no, then sell.

The split will have zero long-term impact
Posted by Roscoe14
Member since Jul 2021
175 posts
Posted on 5/6/24 at 6:09 pm to
quote:

Would you buy more right now at this price if you had the cash to do so?


I might if I were younger. At this point I am trying to reduce the percentage of large caps in my portfolio in favor of more fixed income. I guess what I am saying here is that I am looking for large caps to dump and am wondering whether CMG is a good candidate due to external factors.
This post was edited on 5/6/24 at 6:44 pm
Posted by UltimaParadox
Huntsville
Member since Nov 2008
40872 posts
Posted on 5/6/24 at 9:33 pm to
In my opinion you made a lot of money with CMG, and my personal opinion is the growth story is mostly played out.

It is a well run business in a very very difficult sector to do it in.

I would reduce my exposure if the taxes etc make sense.
Posted by Jag_Warrior
Virginia
Member since May 2015
4123 posts
Posted on 5/6/24 at 9:38 pm to
If you have a price target(s) in mind where you’d be content to part with CMG, you could sell covered calls at that strike, or laddered strikes, against all or part of your position.
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
10479 posts
Posted on 5/7/24 at 12:49 pm to
I like it and have done very well with it.

I would buy if you’re horizon is 5 plus years

Otherwise, I think it’s a bit overpriced right now and would probably wait for some pullback to buy
This post was edited on 5/8/24 at 10:03 am
Posted by BabyTac
Austin, TX
Member since Jun 2008
12229 posts
Posted on 5/7/24 at 1:20 pm to
Sell and put it all in a SP500 ETF for the next few years. Thank me later.
Posted by FLObserver
Jacksonville
Member since Nov 2005
14479 posts
Posted on 5/8/24 at 4:46 am to
Wait for split then sell half.
Posted by RemouladeSawce
Uranus
Member since Sep 2008
13974 posts
Posted on 5/8/24 at 1:48 pm to
quote:

But 14% of its restaurants are in California and the recent rise in the minimum wage for fast food restaurants (whose owner's aren't the governor's friends) has forced it to raise prices in that state
They've raised prices 5x in the last 2 years to keep up with market conditions and they've lost no momentum to speak of

They have established and retained a customer base that is downright shockingly inelastic in a niche that does not breed such loyalty. I don't know how much cost containment juice they have left to squeeze to be able to keep that price trajectory going indefinitely (a story which should put them in the Canton of Cost Management first ballot) but if there's one side of the margin equation I wouldn't question going forward it's their top line

Someone wrote a good piece about their customers' price stickiness a few weeks ago, I will link if I can find it
This post was edited on 5/8/24 at 1:53 pm
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