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My Exxon stock just hit a new high?

Posted on 9/27/23 at 3:12 pm
Posted by Porkskins
Tigerland
Member since Jan 2005
281 posts
Posted on 9/27/23 at 3:12 pm
Have a little over 5k shares. Trying to figure out a target to sell?
Any of you gurus have advice?
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
82056 posts
Posted on 9/27/23 at 3:17 pm to
quote:

Trying to figure out a target to sell?
Any of you gurus have advice?
you have provided any information that would help anyone give you an advice on this one
Posted by C
Houston
Member since Dec 2007
27830 posts
Posted on 9/27/23 at 3:36 pm to
I mean with a half million in a single stock I’d be talking to my advisor…


But I’d probably start selling chunks every $3-$5 dollar increments. It’s got to have a ceiling around $150
Posted by BourbonDad
Somewhere on the vol surface
Member since Sep 2016
193 posts
Posted on 9/27/23 at 4:22 pm to
You can watch crude futures as a proxy. They’ve been straight ripping for a while now. I’d hold til crude shows signs of a top.
Posted by BourbonDad
Somewhere on the vol surface
Member since Sep 2016
193 posts
Posted on 9/27/23 at 4:24 pm to
I just looked at the chart. Nice technical breakout will likely run up into earnings then sit back and retest that level
Posted by TorchtheFlyingTiger
1st coast
Member since Jan 2008
2134 posts
Posted on 9/27/23 at 4:29 pm to
In retirement account or taxable brokerage?
Posted by jimjackandjose
Member since Jun 2011
6498 posts
Posted on 9/27/23 at 4:35 pm to
Technical breakout at what level

It's been on a 5 wave pattern since bottom around 100.
Posted by TorchtheFlyingTiger
1st coast
Member since Jan 2008
2134 posts
Posted on 9/27/23 at 4:51 pm to
$600k+ is a large position to have concentrated in a single stock unless you have an enormous portfolio. I'm not comfortable with more than 10% in individual stocks and much less in any one. I'd rebalance immediately in retirement accounts or gradually to manage tax burden if in taxable.

If you happen to work for the company, that would be even more concentrated risk as you'd be reliant on it's success for your income as well.
Posted by BourbonDad
Somewhere on the vol surface
Member since Sep 2016
193 posts
Posted on 9/27/23 at 5:04 pm to
wtf is a "5 wave pattern"? See the flat line at 120? When we "break" above that it's call a breakout. If we don't continue then it's called a failed break out.

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Don't get me wrong, most "technical setups" are literally JUST that. A setup by the market makers to create liquidity.
This post was edited on 9/27/23 at 5:05 pm
Posted by BourbonDad
Somewhere on the vol surface
Member since Sep 2016
193 posts
Posted on 9/27/23 at 5:08 pm to
FWIW this is the historical weekly chart of crude futures. Probably due for a little pullback since today was a massive move, but long term it doesn't look lower to me.....

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Posted by dgnx6
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2006
68891 posts
Posted on 9/27/23 at 5:11 pm to
Id prob hold. A while ago i did say if it hits $120 again im getting out. But im rethinking that now because it came back so quickly.

Posted by UpstairsComputer
Prairieville
Member since Jan 2017
1583 posts
Posted on 9/27/23 at 6:03 pm to
Good stuff. Is it in your 401k? If so, research NUA. If it’s in IRA, start rebalancing now. If it’s non-qualified, consider hedging. If you don’t know any of this, you’re awesome at not knowing stuff, but call an advisor.
Posted by BourbonDad
Somewhere on the vol surface
Member since Sep 2016
193 posts
Posted on 9/27/23 at 6:03 pm to
Yeah I would buy some put leaps to be safe.
Posted by Triple Bogey
19th Green
Member since May 2017
5993 posts
Posted on 9/27/23 at 6:56 pm to
With that many shares, I'd be selling covered calls into 125/130/135/140 strikes.
Posted by sjmabry
Texas
Member since Aug 2013
18503 posts
Posted on 9/27/23 at 7:49 pm to
Exxon is the barometer for Energy. Reduce positions but never sellout.
Posted by PlanoPrivateer
Frisco, TX
Member since Jan 2004
2797 posts
Posted on 9/27/23 at 9:16 pm to
I'd ladder some stop losses or trailing stop losses. Prices and quantities would depend on cost basis. I would want to protect some of this large position.
Posted by j1897
Member since Nov 2011
3576 posts
Posted on 9/27/23 at 9:22 pm to
quote:

Have a little over 5k shares. Trying to figure out a target to sell?
Any of you gurus have advice?


Take the dividend and ignore it. Recession is coming, these stocks will drop again, but for a short period. We haven't invested in oil, and it's gonna fricking hurt. They'll have all the money in a few years.
Posted by JackDempsey
Lake Charles
Member since May 2023
286 posts
Posted on 9/28/23 at 5:52 am to
I have nearly that much, but inherited. Cost basis is very low. I am debating selling about 25% but the capital gains taxes would be 15% on most of it.

Also, the dividend is great. But about 3 years ago XOM was priced in the 30s.

I could pay my house off with the gains of selling 25%.

Any advice, thoughts?
Posted by BourbonDad
Somewhere on the vol surface
Member since Sep 2016
193 posts
Posted on 9/28/23 at 5:59 am to
I’d sell the 25% then
Posted by LSUnation78
Northshore
Member since Aug 2012
12084 posts
Posted on 9/28/23 at 6:31 am to
quote:

I could pay my house off with the gains of selling 25%.


Life changing money is life changing money. Pay off your mortgage. Thats cashflow you can use for a new investment.
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