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In-Depth Dive on Alabama Baseball next weekend compared to LSU
Posted on 5/5/24 at 9:45 pm
Posted on 5/5/24 at 9:45 pm
These stats are from May 4th and do not include today's stats. I am doing the stats specifically from SEC games because I feel like they are the most important because it is where the players are playing the best competition.
Offensive Stats for Alabama compared to LSU in SEC Games
Bating Average
Alabama - .292 (4th) - Behind Texas A&M who's in 3rd at .296
LSU - .258 (8th)
Runs
Alabama - 129 (7th)
LSU - 119 (11th - Tied with Ole Miss)
Hits
Alabama - 231 (4th)
LSU - 199 (7th - Tied with South Carolina)
Doubles
Alabama - 43 (5th)
LSU - 39 (7th)
Triples
Alabama - 5 (2nd)
LSU -1 (8th - Tied with a bunch of teams)
Home Runs
Alabama - 34 (7th)
LSU - 40 (6th)
RBIS
Alabama - 123 (7th)
LSU - 107 (12) - Tommy White almost had this by himself last year (105)
Total Bases
Alabama - 386 (5th)
LSU - 360 (6th)
Slugging
Alabama - .487 (5th)
LSU - .467 (6th)
Walks
Alabama - 57 (14th)
LSU - 94 (9th)
Hit by Pitches
Alabama - 31 (3rd - Tied with Kentucky
LSU - 18 (13th) (Dang we've been #1 the first 2 years under Jay Johnson and I feel like if we were up there it would produce a good bit more runs.)
Strike outs
Alabama - 160 (1st)
LSU - 218 (8th)
Ground ball double plays
Alabama - 13 (12th)
LSU - 17 (14th) - We've hit into the most Double plays
On-Base Percentage
Alabama - .358 (7th)
LSU - .351 (9th)
Stolen Bases
Alabama - 6 (Tied for Last with LSU)
LSU - 6
Pitching Stats for Alabama compared to LSU in SEC Games
Earned Run Average
Alabama- 7.20 (12th)
LSU- 5.98 (9th)
Hits allowed
Alabama -217 (11th)
LSU- 200 (6th)
Runs Allowed
Alabama- 164 (12th)
LSU - 142 (7th)
Earn Runs Allowed
Alabama - 156 (12th)
LSU - 131 (9th)
Walks Allowed
Alabama - 104 (11th)
LSU - 91 (5th)
Strikeouts
Alabama - 183 (14th)
LSU - 234 (4th) - 1 strikeout less than Georgia at 235 could of easily of changed by end of today.
Home Runs allowed
Alabama - 47 (13th)
LSU - 32 (5th)
Batting Average Against
Alabama - .280 (11th)
LSU - .261 (6th)
Fielding Percentage
Alabama - .976 (9th)
LSU - .975 (10th)
Probable Pitching Matchup
Friday
Alabama - Greg Farone - 6'6 LHP 4-2 / 4.07 / 55.1 ip / 52 hits / 18 walks / 57 strikeouts
LSU - Gage Jump LHP 4-1 / 3.76 / 55.0 ip / 41 hits / 16 walks / 67 strikeouts
Saturday
Alabama - Zane Adams - 6'4 LHP 4-3 / 4.71 / 49.2 ip / 50 hits / 18 walks / 35 strikeouts
LSU - Luke Holman RHP 6-3 / 2.84 / 66.2 ip / 41 hits / 26 walks / 98 strikeouts
Sunday
Alabama - Ben Hess - 6'5 RHP 3-4 / 6.89 / 48.1 ip / 42 hits / 29 walks / 79 strikeouts
LSU - TBA
Overall Thoughts on series: I watched a couple of games via YouTube highlights and for whatever reason they look a lot better at home which sucks because we will be playing them at home.
Alabama Home SEC Series
Tenn Vols 2-1
G1 (L) 3-11
G2 (W) 6-3
G3 (W) 7-6
SC Gamecocks 2-1
G1 (W) 4-3
G2 (W) 13-6
G3 (L) 8-9
Arkansas 2-1
G1 (L) 3-5
G2 (W) 4-3
G3 (W) 5-0
Texas AM 1-2
G1 (L) 5-10
G2 (L) 9-18
G3 (W) 10-9
A team who will string together a bunch of base hits with Gage Miller as their big slugger has 18 HR and TJ McCantis with 13 HR (Leads team in strikeouts by about double anyone elses with 52) Will not walk a lot but will not strikeout a ton as they have the lowest amount of strikeouts but lowest amount of walks. Will be a tough series and will have to have the clutch timely hits like we had this weekend.
Prediction 2-1 LSU. (We will have to play really good baseball to walk out of there with 2 wins because they have beat SC/ Ark/ Tenn in home series.)
On a positive note they had a really bad weekend this weekend vs Miss State as their pitching was all over the place and they went 1-2 losing badly in the first 2 and salvaging the last game.
Offensive Stats for Alabama compared to LSU in SEC Games
Bating Average
Alabama - .292 (4th) - Behind Texas A&M who's in 3rd at .296
LSU - .258 (8th)
Runs
Alabama - 129 (7th)
LSU - 119 (11th - Tied with Ole Miss)
Hits
Alabama - 231 (4th)
LSU - 199 (7th - Tied with South Carolina)
Doubles
Alabama - 43 (5th)
LSU - 39 (7th)
Triples
Alabama - 5 (2nd)
LSU -1 (8th - Tied with a bunch of teams)
Home Runs
Alabama - 34 (7th)
LSU - 40 (6th)
RBIS
Alabama - 123 (7th)
LSU - 107 (12) - Tommy White almost had this by himself last year (105)
Total Bases
Alabama - 386 (5th)
LSU - 360 (6th)
Slugging
Alabama - .487 (5th)
LSU - .467 (6th)
Walks
Alabama - 57 (14th)
LSU - 94 (9th)
Hit by Pitches
Alabama - 31 (3rd - Tied with Kentucky
LSU - 18 (13th) (Dang we've been #1 the first 2 years under Jay Johnson and I feel like if we were up there it would produce a good bit more runs.)
Strike outs
Alabama - 160 (1st)
LSU - 218 (8th)
Ground ball double plays
Alabama - 13 (12th)
LSU - 17 (14th) - We've hit into the most Double plays
On-Base Percentage
Alabama - .358 (7th)
LSU - .351 (9th)
Stolen Bases
Alabama - 6 (Tied for Last with LSU)
LSU - 6
Pitching Stats for Alabama compared to LSU in SEC Games
Earned Run Average
Alabama- 7.20 (12th)
LSU- 5.98 (9th)
Hits allowed
Alabama -217 (11th)
LSU- 200 (6th)
Runs Allowed
Alabama- 164 (12th)
LSU - 142 (7th)
Earn Runs Allowed
Alabama - 156 (12th)
LSU - 131 (9th)
Walks Allowed
Alabama - 104 (11th)
LSU - 91 (5th)
Strikeouts
Alabama - 183 (14th)
LSU - 234 (4th) - 1 strikeout less than Georgia at 235 could of easily of changed by end of today.
Home Runs allowed
Alabama - 47 (13th)
LSU - 32 (5th)
Batting Average Against
Alabama - .280 (11th)
LSU - .261 (6th)
Fielding Percentage
Alabama - .976 (9th)
LSU - .975 (10th)
Probable Pitching Matchup
Friday
Alabama - Greg Farone - 6'6 LHP 4-2 / 4.07 / 55.1 ip / 52 hits / 18 walks / 57 strikeouts
LSU - Gage Jump LHP 4-1 / 3.76 / 55.0 ip / 41 hits / 16 walks / 67 strikeouts
Saturday
Alabama - Zane Adams - 6'4 LHP 4-3 / 4.71 / 49.2 ip / 50 hits / 18 walks / 35 strikeouts
LSU - Luke Holman RHP 6-3 / 2.84 / 66.2 ip / 41 hits / 26 walks / 98 strikeouts
Sunday
Alabama - Ben Hess - 6'5 RHP 3-4 / 6.89 / 48.1 ip / 42 hits / 29 walks / 79 strikeouts
LSU - TBA
Overall Thoughts on series: I watched a couple of games via YouTube highlights and for whatever reason they look a lot better at home which sucks because we will be playing them at home.
Alabama Home SEC Series
Tenn Vols 2-1
G1 (L) 3-11
G2 (W) 6-3
G3 (W) 7-6
SC Gamecocks 2-1
G1 (W) 4-3
G2 (W) 13-6
G3 (L) 8-9
Arkansas 2-1
G1 (L) 3-5
G2 (W) 4-3
G3 (W) 5-0
Texas AM 1-2
G1 (L) 5-10
G2 (L) 9-18
G3 (W) 10-9
A team who will string together a bunch of base hits with Gage Miller as their big slugger has 18 HR and TJ McCantis with 13 HR (Leads team in strikeouts by about double anyone elses with 52) Will not walk a lot but will not strikeout a ton as they have the lowest amount of strikeouts but lowest amount of walks. Will be a tough series and will have to have the clutch timely hits like we had this weekend.
Prediction 2-1 LSU. (We will have to play really good baseball to walk out of there with 2 wins because they have beat SC/ Ark/ Tenn in home series.)
On a positive note they had a really bad weekend this weekend vs Miss State as their pitching was all over the place and they went 1-2 losing badly in the first 2 and salvaging the last game.
9
Posted on 5/5/24 at 10:15 pm to Traceg03
frick those slimy cocksuckers.
Posted on 5/5/24 at 10:18 pm to Traceg03
Very insightful analysis! Thanks for doing it. If this past weekend tells me anything, is that this LSU team has enough talent to win 2 out of 3 against anyone IF they execute on key moments of a game. We’ll just need to see if these Tigers could continue to play loose and confident in a hostile environment.
This post was edited on 5/5/24 at 10:19 pm
Posted on 5/5/24 at 10:23 pm to Traceg03
Nice post and thanks for the info 
Posted on 5/5/24 at 10:23 pm to VesperiaLSU
So u are saying even we have better pitching than them pretty much across the board? Like our chances of winning 2 of 3
Posted on 5/5/24 at 10:25 pm to Traceg03
Honestly for the hitting it shows how God awful we were those first 5 series when we were trying to figure out a lineup worth a shite. With that said tendencies like walks and strikeouts probably wouldn't have changed much. Curious how our batting % has improved since Vandy. I say that because our lineup is similar since the Tennessee series.
Posted on 5/5/24 at 10:27 pm to Portcityblues
Better pitching in first 2 games for sure. Depending on if we can get big enough leads to not have to use Herring/Little will determine how I feel as far as game 3 pitching matchup. Their 3rd guy is interesting because he has the worst ERA but has the most strikeout out of their 3 guys by far. I haven’t watched much of him and plan on doing that tomorrow. Will try to talk about their bullpen arms some as well.
Posted on 5/5/24 at 10:30 pm to USAFTiger42
quote:
Honestly for the hitting it shows how God awful we were those first 5 series when we were trying to figure out a lineup worth a shite. With that said tendencies like walks and strikeouts probably wouldn't have changed much. Curious how our batting % has improved since Vandy. I say that because our lineup is similar since the Tennessee series.
I’m very curious to this as well If someone wants to try to figure out our hitting stats since Tenn id be interested to see how much of an improvement we’ve made because it feels significant. If I’m bored enough tomorrow I may try to do it myself whenever I do a deeper dive on the pitching.
Posted on 5/6/24 at 9:19 am to Traceg03
Excellent post. Interesting that they are disciplined at the plate resulting in fewer strikeouts, which is the strength of our pitchers. Strength vs strength. Will be interesting to see how it plays out.
Posted on 5/6/24 at 9:22 am to KWL85
quote:
Interesting that they are disciplined at the plate resulting in fewer strikeouts, which is the strength of our pitchers. Strength vs strength. Will be interesting to see how it plays out.
I believe this was pretty similar to last year in regards to our pitchers were not having the greatest season besides Skenes and Floyd but their strikeout numbers remained high and Alabama was the fewest strikeout team. I remember the one guy they had for a long time who would choke up to basically half way up the bat when he got to 2 strikes. I think he either graduated or transferred last year.
Posted on 5/6/24 at 9:46 am to Traceg03
Their bullpen does not seem to have near as many innings as our guys that may be because we do not have a guy who starts every Sunday whereas they seem too. Idk if its a good thing that their bullpen has less innings because they could be more fresh but also less experience.
Top arms out of the pen that we will likely see at some point-
Tyler Fay 6'5 RHP 6.96 era / 1-2 / 32 ip / 33 hits / 13 walks / 31 strikeouts
Braylon Myers 6'2 RHP 2.93 era / 2-1 / 27.2 ip / 20 hits / 8 walks / 22 strikeouts
Alton Davis II 6'5 LHP 4.94 era / 4-1 / 27.2 ip / 28 hits / 16 walks / 33 strikeouts (I remember this guy from last year. He was their big prospect arm that was a freshman and he had really good stats and I believe Travenski hit a go ahead home run vs him in the 8th or 9th. His stats aren't as impressive as last year going into the game but he is still considered a good prospect. Good frame from the left side and has some run with good velo.
Kade Snell 6'1 LHP 6.65 era / 1-0 / 21.2 ip / 27 hits / 13 walks / 21 strikeouts
Coulson Buchanan 5'10 RHP 7.76 era / 1-1 / 26.2 ip / 35 hits / 13 walks / 20 strikeouts
Aidan Moza 6'1 RHP 9.24 era / 2-2 / 25.1 ip / 32 hits / 16 walks / 35 strikeouts
Our bullpen has been flat out better in most the big categories than theirs. I will be interested to see who they throw in the game against Troy in the midweek as Troy is a top 25 team. I wouldn't be surprised if its one of those last 2 guys considering the stats aren't as good but they eat up a lot of innings. I expect swapping every 1-2 innings.
Top arms out of the pen that we will likely see at some point-
Tyler Fay 6'5 RHP 6.96 era / 1-2 / 32 ip / 33 hits / 13 walks / 31 strikeouts
Braylon Myers 6'2 RHP 2.93 era / 2-1 / 27.2 ip / 20 hits / 8 walks / 22 strikeouts
Alton Davis II 6'5 LHP 4.94 era / 4-1 / 27.2 ip / 28 hits / 16 walks / 33 strikeouts (I remember this guy from last year. He was their big prospect arm that was a freshman and he had really good stats and I believe Travenski hit a go ahead home run vs him in the 8th or 9th. His stats aren't as impressive as last year going into the game but he is still considered a good prospect. Good frame from the left side and has some run with good velo.
Kade Snell 6'1 LHP 6.65 era / 1-0 / 21.2 ip / 27 hits / 13 walks / 21 strikeouts
Coulson Buchanan 5'10 RHP 7.76 era / 1-1 / 26.2 ip / 35 hits / 13 walks / 20 strikeouts
Aidan Moza 6'1 RHP 9.24 era / 2-2 / 25.1 ip / 32 hits / 16 walks / 35 strikeouts
Our bullpen has been flat out better in most the big categories than theirs. I will be interested to see who they throw in the game against Troy in the midweek as Troy is a top 25 team. I wouldn't be surprised if its one of those last 2 guys considering the stats aren't as good but they eat up a lot of innings. I expect swapping every 1-2 innings.
Posted on 5/6/24 at 10:40 am to Traceg03
Schloss says they're cheating at home
Posted on 5/6/24 at 10:44 am to lowhound
LSU definitely with the pitching advantage on Fri and Sat
Hess is actually a pretty highly thought of draft prospect and he goes for Bama on Sunday so I would say that might be a slight advantage despite his stats..
Hess is actually a pretty highly thought of draft prospect and he goes for Bama on Sunday so I would say that might be a slight advantage despite his stats..
Posted on 5/6/24 at 11:23 am to lowhound
quote:
Schloss says they're cheating at home
I've heard it was actually Georgia.
Posted on 5/6/24 at 11:32 am to Traceg03
They had 22 players in the ER for food poisoning on Saturday, so that probably played a part as well. They tried to get State to change it to a double header on Sunday, State would not do it.
Posted on 5/6/24 at 11:40 am to lowhound
quote:
Schloss says they're cheating at home
Schloss seems like a bit of a pussy IMO.
Posted on 5/6/24 at 11:46 am to RB10
They are a little better at hitting.
We have a little better pitching.
Tigers take 2 of 3.
We have a little better pitching.
Tigers take 2 of 3.
Posted on 5/6/24 at 1:01 pm to TIGERSby10
We have Jump/Little and Holman/Herring. Not gonna lose another game 1 or 2 the rest of the season.
Posted on 5/6/24 at 1:36 pm to Traceg03
Definitely frustrating that as bad as the pitching has been at times, it's been good enough that LSU should have a few more wins.
Posted on 5/6/24 at 2:02 pm to Traceg03
Good post. I am concerned about their discipline at the plate, but optimistic that their pitching is weak enough for our best hitters to not strike out as much.
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