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re: 13 wins = 38%
Posted on 5/7/24 at 4:19 pm to Flannmann
Posted on 5/7/24 at 4:19 pm to Flannmann
I can easily see us getting to 12. In that case though we’d have to win 3 or 4 games in the SEC Tournament. Getting to 13 is going to be much more difficult than most of us want to believe. I can hardly imagine us getting to 14.
0
Posted on 5/7/24 at 4:38 pm to NFLSU
quote:
RPI means more than SEC win %
If LSU wins the next two series with at least 2 wins in each, they’re in.
Recent LSU history says you are wrong. In 2011 we were 36-20 with an RPI of 28. We were left out of the tournament. And we had won the national title two years before.
This post was edited on 5/7/24 at 4:43 pm
Posted on 5/7/24 at 6:05 pm to Penrod
quote:
Recent LSU history says you are wrong. In 2011 we were 36-20 with an RPI of 28. We were left out of the tournament. And we had won the national title two years before.
13 years ago is not recent. Another poster showed that since 2017 every SEC team with 13 conference wins and 36 wins overall has made it. That’s recent.
Posted on 5/7/24 at 6:11 pm to MikeTheTiger71
quote:
13 years ago is not recent.
Posted on 5/7/24 at 7:08 pm to Alt26
quote:
If LSU can take 2/3 in their final series they will almost assuredly have a top 35 RPI. Unfortunately, their SOS right now is 22. It will get better playing Alabama and Ole Miss. But not near top 5. (Probably top 15, at best). Still, those numbers would give LSU a very strong argument to get in. Even stronger if Ole Miss and Florida end up with losing records overall...which is a very real possibility given Ole Miss (currently 25-22) finishes with A&M (3x), @ Southern Miss, @ LSU (3x), and Florida (currently 24-23 finishes with South Florida, Kentucky (3x), @ Georgia (3x)
Great post man
Thank you for dropping info along with your take. 
Posted on 5/7/24 at 8:22 pm to Flannmann
13 wins? 12 wins is about 13% but how many of those 12 win teams were defending national champions and won the series against the #1 team in the nation, and were the best college baseball program in the nation for the last 32 years
Posted on 5/7/24 at 8:29 pm to NFLSU
quote:
Except LSU only won 4 out of 10 series in 2011 and only one of those 4 opponents made the NCAAT. Quite different than if LSU is able to win 5-straight SEC series, including series wins over the #1 team and two Top 25 RPIs in Alabama and Ole
So… you are in total agreement then. You are saying SEC schedule and results are more important than RPI, which is exactly the point.
Posted on 5/8/24 at 9:39 am to Penrod
quote:
Recent LSU history says you are wrong. In 2011 we were 36-20 with an RPI of 28. We were left out of the tournament. And we had won the national title two years before.
I hate to say this, but 2011
isn’t that recent.
Posted on 5/8/24 at 10:01 am to SammyTiger
Also 2011 was an absolute outlier. It was very controversial at the time and hasn’t really been duplicated since. It was a fluke and the fact that it happened to us makes
It even more statistically unlikely it would happen to us again.
It even more statistically unlikely it would happen to us again.
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