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Message
re: Conference Tournament Week - (Bid Stealer Tracker)
Posted on 5/20/24 at 7:30 am to MikeTheTiger71
Posted on 5/20/24 at 7:30 am to MikeTheTiger71
Bubble: 19 teams for 13 spots minus bid thieves
South Carolina 33-21 (13-17) RPI: #19
Vanderbilt 35-20 (13-17) RPI: #27
LSU: 36-20 (13-17) RPI: #30
Florida 28-26 (13-17) RPI: #24
Louisville: 32-22 (16-14) RPI: #52
Georgia Tech: 31-21 (15-15) RPI: #46
Cincinnati: 31-23 (17-13) RPI: #55
Kansas St: 31-22 (15-15) RPI: #41
UCF: 33-18 (14-15) RPI: #42
TCU: 31-19 (14-16) RPI: #39
Cal: 34-18 (17-13) RPI: #65
Troy: 36-20 (18-12) RPI: #53
James Madison: 32-21 (17-13) RPI: #44
Coastal Carolina: 33-21 (16-14) RPI: #35
Indiana: 30-22-1 (15-9) RPI: #60
Charleston: 39-12 (21-5) RPI: #50
UNCW: 36-19 (20-7) RPI: #47
St John’s: 34-16-1 (14-7) RPI: #63
Xavier: 29-25 (12-9) RPI: #38
South Carolina 33-21 (13-17) RPI: #19
Vanderbilt 35-20 (13-17) RPI: #27
LSU: 36-20 (13-17) RPI: #30
Florida 28-26 (13-17) RPI: #24
Louisville: 32-22 (16-14) RPI: #52
Georgia Tech: 31-21 (15-15) RPI: #46
Cincinnati: 31-23 (17-13) RPI: #55
Kansas St: 31-22 (15-15) RPI: #41
UCF: 33-18 (14-15) RPI: #42
TCU: 31-19 (14-16) RPI: #39
Cal: 34-18 (17-13) RPI: #65
Troy: 36-20 (18-12) RPI: #53
James Madison: 32-21 (17-13) RPI: #44
Coastal Carolina: 33-21 (16-14) RPI: #35
Indiana: 30-22-1 (15-9) RPI: #60
Charleston: 39-12 (21-5) RPI: #50
UNCW: 36-19 (20-7) RPI: #47
St John’s: 34-16-1 (14-7) RPI: #63
Xavier: 29-25 (12-9) RPI: #38
Posted on 5/20/24 at 7:38 am to MikeTheTiger71
quote:
South Carolina 33-21 (13-17) RPI: #19
Vanderbilt 35-20 (13-17) RPI: #27
LSU: 36-20 (13-17) RPI: #30
Florida 28-26 (13-17) RPI: #24
Louisville: 32-22 (16-14) RPI: #52
Georgia Tech: 31-21 (15-15) RPI: #46
Cincinnati: 31-23 (17-13) RPI: #55
Kansas St: 31-22 (15-15) RPI: #41
UCF: 33-18 (14-15) RPI: #42
TCU: 31-19 (14-16) RPI: #39
Cal: 34-18 (17-13) RPI: #65
Troy: 36-20 (18-12) RPI: #53
James Madison: 32-21 (17-13) RPI: #44
Coastal Carolina: 33-21 (16-14) RPI: #35
Indiana: 30-22-1 (15-9) RPI: #60
Charleston: 39-12 (21-5) RPI: #50
UNCW: 36-19 (20-7) RPI: #47
St John’s: 34-16-1 (14-7) RPI: #63
Xavier: 29-25 (12-9) RPI: #38
Hire me. It's these 13
Posted on 5/20/24 at 8:54 am to lsurulz1515
quote:
Hire me.
Before I make an offer to hire you, can you please rank the 13 that you have selected from first in to last in. Thanks.
Posted on 5/20/24 at 9:19 am to Hold That Tiger 10
quote:I think they are still in. Saying they’re a “lock” is a stretch because they would be sweating it, but I doubt they’d even be on the “Last 4 In” bubble with a loss.
So if Bama loses Tuesday and LSU wins, along with whoever else winning or losing, Bama is still one of the SEC teams in?
Their metrics are better overall than the other 13 win teams, and 1 game in the conference tourney won’t change it enough to drop them below that many 13 win SEC teams who make it if the committee decides to leave 1-2 out.
Posted on 5/20/24 at 10:12 am to Traceg03
I have added to the OG post at the bottom all of the Day 1 important games tomorrow.
Day 1: 5/21 All Bubble Team's Games / Time / Result + All 1 Bid League favorites we need to win their Conference tournament
# Before College Name = Seed in Conf Tourney
All Game times are on Central time.
#6 Kansas St. 31-22 (15-15) RPI: #41 vs #7 Kansas RPI: #73 @ 9:00 am
#11 LSU 36-20 (13-17) RPI: #30 vs #6 Georgia RPI: #6 @9:30 am
#7 Louisville: 32-22 (16-14) RPI: #52 vs #11 Miami RPI: #90 @10:00 am
#3 Indiana: 30-22-1 (15-9) RPI: #60 vs #6 Purdue RPI: #79 @10:00 am
#1 East Carolina RPI:#16 vs #8 Rice RPI:#168 @ 11:30 am
East Carolina needs to win the conf championship to avoid stealing an at large
#9 TCU: 31-19 (14-16) RPI: #39 vs #4 West Virginia RPI: #33 @ 12:30 pm
#10 South Carolina 33-21 (13-17) RPI: #19 vs #7 Alabama 33-21 (13-17) RPI: #18 @ 1:00 pm
#9 Georgia Tech: 31-21 (15-15) RPI: #46 vs #5 Florida St. RPI: #8 @ 2:00 pm
#7 Coastal Carolina: 33-21 (16-14) RPI: #35 vs #10 Georgia St. RPI: #104 @ 3:00 pm
#5 Cincinnati: 31-23 (17-13) RPI: #55 vs #8 UCF: 33-18 (14-15) RPI: #42 @4:00 pm
#8 Vanderbilt 35-20 (13-17) RPI: #27 vs #9 Florida 28-26 (13-17) RPI: #24 @4:30 pm
#6 Cal: 34-18 (17-13) RPI: #65 vs #9 Washington RPI: #151 @9:00 pm
Day 1: 5/21 All Bubble Team's Games / Time / Result + All 1 Bid League favorites we need to win their Conference tournament
# Before College Name = Seed in Conf Tourney
All Game times are on Central time.
#6 Kansas St. 31-22 (15-15) RPI: #41 vs #7 Kansas RPI: #73 @ 9:00 am
#11 LSU 36-20 (13-17) RPI: #30 vs #6 Georgia RPI: #6 @9:30 am
#7 Louisville: 32-22 (16-14) RPI: #52 vs #11 Miami RPI: #90 @10:00 am
#3 Indiana: 30-22-1 (15-9) RPI: #60 vs #6 Purdue RPI: #79 @10:00 am
#1 East Carolina RPI:#16 vs #8 Rice RPI:#168 @ 11:30 am
East Carolina needs to win the conf championship to avoid stealing an at large
#9 TCU: 31-19 (14-16) RPI: #39 vs #4 West Virginia RPI: #33 @ 12:30 pm
#10 South Carolina 33-21 (13-17) RPI: #19 vs #7 Alabama 33-21 (13-17) RPI: #18 @ 1:00 pm
#9 Georgia Tech: 31-21 (15-15) RPI: #46 vs #5 Florida St. RPI: #8 @ 2:00 pm
#7 Coastal Carolina: 33-21 (16-14) RPI: #35 vs #10 Georgia St. RPI: #104 @ 3:00 pm
#5 Cincinnati: 31-23 (17-13) RPI: #55 vs #8 UCF: 33-18 (14-15) RPI: #42 @4:00 pm
#8 Vanderbilt 35-20 (13-17) RPI: #27 vs #9 Florida 28-26 (13-17) RPI: #24 @4:30 pm
#6 Cal: 34-18 (17-13) RPI: #65 vs #9 Washington RPI: #151 @9:00 pm
Posted on 5/20/24 at 11:05 am to Traceg03
Appreciate you doing this
Posted on 5/20/24 at 2:05 pm to Traceg03
Do we find out the lineup at 830 tomorrow or late tonight?
Posted on 5/20/24 at 3:49 pm to hirematthouse
8:30 tomorrow. Jay isn’t going to give anything away any earlier than he has too.
Posted on 5/20/24 at 6:28 pm to Traceg03
Good God!!!! My dissertation wasn't as long as the OP!
Posted on 5/20/24 at 7:49 pm to Mud_Bone
I went through and took out some information that is no longer needed. I hope that makes it better Mud_Bone I felt it was a little long as well.
This post was edited on 5/20/24 at 7:50 pm
Posted on 5/20/24 at 9:14 pm to Traceg03
Appreciate your posts the past few days. Great job!
Posted on 5/20/24 at 10:58 pm to MikeTheTiger71
quote:
Bubble: 19 teams for 13 spots minus bid thieves South Carolina 33-21 (13-17) RPI: #19 Vanderbilt 35-20 (13-17) RPI: #27 LSU: 36-20 (13-17) RPI: #30 Florida 28-26 (13-17) RPI: #24 Louisville: 32-22 (16-14) RPI: #52 Georgia Tech: 31-21 (15-15) RPI: #46 Cincinnati: 31-23 (17-13) RPI: #55 Kansas St: 31-22 (15-15) RPI: #41 UCF: 33-18 (14-15) RPI: #42 TCU: 31-19 (14-16) RPI: #39 Cal: 34-18 (17-13) RPI: #65 Troy: 36-20 (18-12) RPI: #53 James Madison: 32-21 (17-13) RPI: #44 Coastal Carolina: 33-21 (16-14) RPI: #35 Indiana: 30-22-1 (15-9) RPI: #60 Charleston: 39-12 (21-5) RPI: #50 UNCW: 36-19 (20-7) RPI: #47 St John’s: 34-16-1 (14-7) RPI: #63 Xavier: 29-25 (12-9) RPI: #38
A few quick tidbits on the bubble teams:
- LSU has the most Q1/2 wins with 18 (SC and Florida next best with 15).
- LSU and SC are tied for the fewest Q3/4 losses with 2 (Vandy and Florida next with 3.)
- LSU is 3rd in WPct vs Q1/2 at .500. (Cal at 12-10 and Troy at 13-12 are only bubble teams with a winning record vs Q1/2, but both lost 8 Q3/4 games.)
- GT with 9 and Xavier with 8 are only non-SEC bubble teams with more Q1 wins than LSU’s 7, but both are below .500 vs Q1/2 while GT has 6 Q3/4 losses and Xavier has 12.
Posted on 5/21/24 at 6:45 am to Hold That Tiger 10
quote:
So if Bama loses Tuesday and LSU wins, along with whoever else winning or losing, Bama is still one of the SEC teams in? If they answer is, "well it depends" then they aren't a "lock." I don't consider any 13 win SEC team a lock at this point. I think they should all get in, but there will be some sweating it out next weekend.
The committee has always shown a tendency to favor rpi over every metric. Now they are allowed to look at, but arent required to view the kpi, so maybe they look at both of these things. Id imagine rpi is still weighted slightly more because kpi isnt mandatory, just an aid to be reviewed if a member wants to see it. I cant see a scenario where bama is left out, they are the only lock amongst the 13-17 teams IMO. Their rpi is 18, their kpi is 17. A loss today and they maybe at worst drop to 22 in both after the week of games is over? They are in
This post was edited on 5/21/24 at 6:48 am
Posted on 5/21/24 at 7:23 am to Traceg03
quote:
I went through and took out some information that is no longer needed. I hope that makes it better Mud_Bone I felt it was a little long as well.
Actually, it was a compliment to the amount of work you had put in. Do you do this professionally???
Posted on 5/21/24 at 8:18 am to Mud_Bone
quote:
Actually, it was a compliment to the amount of work you had put in. Do you do this professionally???
Thank you! But no I don’t do this professionally just passionate about Baseball.
This post was edited on 5/21/24 at 9:02 am
Posted on 5/21/24 at 11:47 am to Traceg03
quote:
Coastal Athletic May 22-25 "1 team locked in" / Potentially 3 / I feel like 2 spots are a lock Northeastern 38-15 (18-9) RPI: #29 - Lock Bubble: Charleston 39-12 (21-5) RPI: #50 UNCW 36-19 (20-7) RPI: #47
They changed the name of this conference?
Posted on 5/21/24 at 11:48 am to Traceg03
Kansas beats K-State in game one on the back of a SF RBI to take the lead in the top of the ninth by former Tiger Collier Cranford.
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