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Is Reaganomics and free trade officially dead?

Posted on 5/19/24 at 8:19 am
Posted by TejasHorn
High Plains Driftin'
Member since Mar 2007
11019 posts
Posted on 5/19/24 at 8:19 am
How did we get here? Trump loves him some tariffs, and Biden has followed suit. Why has protectionism gotten so stylish and Adam Smith so passé?

It will be to the detriment of all in the long run, but as economists say… in the long run we’ll all be dead.

quote:

The details of this new consensus, however, are still being worked out. Trump favors a blunt approach; he has proposed a 60 percent tariff on all Chinese goods and a 10 percent tariff on foreign goods from any country, including allies. Biden argues that Trump’s plan would sharply raise prices for American consumers without much benefit. His administration instead favors what officials call a “small yard and high fence”: major restrictions on a handful of essential technologies from particular countries.

These are the terms on which the debate is now being waged: not whether to restrict free trade, but where, how, and how much. That is a very big change from the world we were living in not long ago. The precise consequences of that change will take years to reveal themselves. But they’re sure to be just as big.


Atlantic article




Posted by kaaj24
Dallas
Member since Jan 2010
640 posts
Posted on 5/19/24 at 8:43 am to
Economics have always been manipulated by governments and special interests.

Economics is now the weapon of choice to send messages to other countries.

I’m more cynical the older I get. It’s a rigged game.
Posted by Civildawg
Member since May 2012
8638 posts
Posted on 5/19/24 at 8:54 am to
I'm curious to the boards opinions of tariffs, do y'all think they are good or bad in most cases?
Posted by kaaj24
Dallas
Member since Jan 2010
640 posts
Posted on 5/19/24 at 9:01 am to
Hurt consumers so think it’s bad.

However, if it’s in an industry that was protecting my job I would probably think it was good.
Posted by Fat Bastard
coach, investor, gambler
Member since Mar 2009
73643 posts
Posted on 5/19/24 at 9:09 am to
quote:

free trade


aka fake trade

reagan had tariffs also. look it up. i have posted it here before.

tariffs worked on CHYNA
Posted by Fat Bastard
coach, investor, gambler
Member since Mar 2009
73643 posts
Posted on 5/19/24 at 9:12 am to
quote:

I'm curious to the boards opinions of tariffs, do y'all think they are good or bad in most cases?


we have went through this shite ad nauseum in the past with IB a CHINAMAN and his melts. do you like losing jobs? do you like dumping to lower prices and put business here OOB? or do u like the cheap goods and not GAF?

search for the threads. we laid it all out. I am not going through it all again.

just search for IB FREEMAN posts. he is long gone now and has run back to DU and reddit.
Posted by frogtown
Member since Aug 2017
5065 posts
Posted on 5/19/24 at 9:14 am to
quote:

reagan had tariffs also. look it up. i have posted it here before.


Some context.

Reagan never went "crazy" with tariffs.

FWIW, Trump plans on going crazy. He has universal baseline tariffs on all imports as part of his 2024 economic package. Universal tariffs is an idea associated with Keynes.
Posted by Fat Bastard
coach, investor, gambler
Member since Mar 2009
73643 posts
Posted on 5/19/24 at 9:23 am to
riight or keep getting fricked over right cucktown frog?

how many times do we have to lay out what other countries tariffs were on us for ages? do you remember? look it up!

fake trade or fair trade? you want fake trade right?


again look up IB a CHINAMANS posts.

quote:

Universal tariffs is an idea associated with Keynes.


yeah and obama and clinton being fine with fake trade makes them republicans since that is what W bush did also right?

uniparty globalists.
Posted by go ta hell ole miss
Member since Jan 2007
13680 posts
Posted on 5/19/24 at 9:30 am to
quote:

How did we get here? Trump loves him some tariffs, and Biden has followed suit. Why has protectionism gotten so stylish and Adam Smith so passé?


China was not nearly the manufacturing powerhouse in the early 1980s as it is now. In the 1970s, they were on par with Italy in terms of manufacturing power. By 2010, China had overtaken US in manufacturing capacity.

They can now make us completely dependent on their exports and can sell as low as they need to for putting US companies out of business because of an endless supply of cheap labor.

US economic policies have had to evolve as the world has changed. Reagan would have been more protectionist now, too. Or completely submissive to China, which would put him in a conundrum with his hatred of communism.

The world has evolved, but Reaganites have not. Even though Reagan would likely have different policies today than he had in the early 1980s.
This post was edited on 5/20/24 at 2:48 pm
Posted by faraway
Member since Nov 2022
2251 posts
Posted on 5/19/24 at 9:58 am to
quote:

It will be to the detriment of all in the long run
does all include those children being used for child labor in those foreign countries? nothing is free, genius. somebody somewhere has to pay a price.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
89741 posts
Posted on 5/19/24 at 10:00 am to
Frankly, it all comes down to Asian protectionism/trade aggression. China and Japan have always been very protective of their domestic industries. They want it to be laissez-faire in one direction: out.

If China were to embrace free trade, I really don't think we would have significant problems outside of a few, key industries.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
91145 posts
Posted on 5/19/24 at 10:43 am to
It’s really not free trade when our industry in the U.S. is heavily regulated and China isn’t.

I favor deregulation to lower domestic production costs over tariffs though
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
51962 posts
Posted on 5/19/24 at 1:54 pm to
quote:

China was not nearly the manufacturing powerhouse in the early 1980s as it is now. In the 1970s, they were on par with Italy in terms of manufacturing power. By 2010, China had overtaken US in manufacturing capacity.


Along with this, China manipulates their currency to keep the Yuan trading extremely low below the USD. They also allow slave labor. These two things combine to help keep the cost of production in China far lower than it would be in many other places (especially the US). The more that is allowed, the more production the US loses, that makes the US more reliant on China (and other countries, for a more generalized view). The more reliant one country is on another country for manufacturing goods, the more that reliant country becomes the other country's bitch.

One way to counter this is tariffs to encourage an increase in domestic production, the problem is that you also need to feed that with tax cuts on those production sectors you wish to grow. Instead, we've seen the federal government grasping for more and more taxes (like the recent change in just single individuals selling items online, for instance) to feed their continued (and increasing) debt-creation and accumulation.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
425036 posts
Posted on 5/19/24 at 4:14 pm to
quote:

do you like losing jobs?

We're losing out-dated jobs for a modern economy. That's a good thing.

quote:

do you like dumping to lower prices

The savings is what fuels our modern economy, with spending/investment in much higher margin areas (like tech, R&D, advanced manufacturing, etc.)

quote:

or do u like the cheap goods and not GAF?

I like the efficiencies the cheap goods/savings permits our economy to have, making it the most dominant economy in the world (with no close #2)

Why are y'all so fixated on devolving our economy and SOL? I will never understand this.

Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
425036 posts
Posted on 5/19/24 at 4:19 pm to
quote:

By 2010, China had overtaken US in manufacturing capacity.

Only because they have so many people. Their manufacturing is largely lower-level crap that is beneath our economy/SOL. They are just able to do a lot of it.

Look at per capita manufacturing output and they're per capita output is total shite.

Our total manufacturing output at the PC rate we have is amazing.

quote:

US economic policies have had to evolve as the world has changed.

We should offshore MORE manufacturing and target only pertinent areas that can affect national security or more advanced parts of our economy (like high-end microchips or some medicines)

China is also losing manufacturing to countries with lower SOLs. I'ts one way they've fricked themselves economically.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
425036 posts
Posted on 5/19/24 at 4:20 pm to
quote:

One way to counter this is tariffs to encourage an increase in domestic production, the problem is that you also need to feed that with tax cuts on those production sectors you wish to grow.


Holy fricking socialism.

Adding taxes and tax cuts? The consumer gets doubled-fricked
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
51962 posts
Posted on 5/19/24 at 6:05 pm to
quote:

Holy fricking socialism.


How, exactly, is that socialism? Protectionism? Yes, but Socialism??? I'm going to need a Vinn diagram or something for that.

quote:

target only pertinent areas that can affect national security or more advanced parts of our economy (like high-end microchips or some medicines)


So how is that different from what I said? Other than my answer not being as general a "some things get done" sort of answer, I mean.

quote:

Adding taxes and tax cuts? The consumer gets doubled-fricked


You realize the object is to promote domestic production, right? How else would you go about doing it?

quote:

We're losing out-dated jobs for a modern economy. That's a good thing.


That sounds like that Obama "we need to transition to a service economy" talk.
This post was edited on 5/19/24 at 6:07 pm
Posted by Jjdoc
Cali
Member since Mar 2016
53531 posts
Posted on 5/19/24 at 6:35 pm to
Pretty sure Trump proved his case.

Most people do not know that it was not long ago that the federal government was funded by tariffs.

It was FDR that introduced a switch and introduced free trade.
Posted by Jjdoc
Cali
Member since Mar 2016
53531 posts
Posted on 5/19/24 at 6:40 pm to
quote:

I'm curious to the boards opinions of tariffs, do y'all think they are good or bad in most cases?


I think its all how they are structured and the purpose. At no point do I think we should be at the mercy of another nation for survival.

Trump placed loop holes in some tariffs that resulted in new jobs here and the company avoided the tariffs.


We have twisted and bent the rules of the game so much. Why are we destroying crops? Because it keeps the prices up. If we didn't, farms would go under is what we are told. In reality, farms would switch crops.

Etc...
Posted by Jjdoc
Cali
Member since Mar 2016
53531 posts
Posted on 5/19/24 at 6:46 pm to
Ah... the old USA was a socialist nation until free trade freed us to glory!

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