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LSU projected as a "First Four Out" team by Baseball America.
Posted on 5/8/24 at 9:57 am
Posted on 5/8/24 at 9:57 am
17
Posted on 5/8/24 at 9:59 am to HoldThatTiger03
Just win
Posted on 5/8/24 at 9:59 am to HoldThatTiger03
I mean it’s justified. Should never be in this position with the type of program we have, but all you can do is win the rest and hope fate is on our side
Posted on 5/8/24 at 10:01 am to HoldThatTiger03
Confirms what we already all know, we're a bubble team with little to zero margin for error from here on out
Posted on 5/8/24 at 10:01 am to HoldThatTiger03
Xavier also in the first 4 out. They had a game cancelled against Kentucky yesterday. If they had played and won that game, they'd likely have moved into becoming Q1 wins for us.
Posted on 5/8/24 at 10:02 am to HoldThatTiger03
We have 9 SEC wins. Last out is a big improvement over their previous weeks projections.
Posted on 5/8/24 at 10:14 am to HoldThatTiger03
I know it sounds crazy, but I think we could win any regional.
Posted on 5/8/24 at 10:34 am to HoldThatTiger03
Simple, go 4-2 and we are in. Play every game like it is the game 7 of the world series. No margin for error.
Posted on 5/8/24 at 11:01 am to HoldThatTiger03
I think we're fortunate if that is even accurate, as things stand at this very moment. There is time and opportunity to move up, and move in, but this team hasn't come close to earning a spot yet, in my opinion. So yeah, I would consider first four out to be a positive report.
Posted on 5/8/24 at 11:11 am to HoldThatTiger03
SEC usually gets 9-10 teams in.
Right now Kentucky, UT, Ark, A&M, and MSU are essentially locks.
UGA and SCar probably only need 1 game in their last 6 to get in.
so that’s 7 teams who either have 14 wins or need to go 1/6 to get there.
Missouri and Auburn are done. Just not getting in short of winning the tournament.
Vandy is at 11 wins and has Kentucky and UGA left. I could very easily see them at 13-17 but if they lose both series and get swept I think they’re out.
Florida has 10 wins and has UK and UGA. could easily end up at 12 wins.
Then there is us, Ole Miss and Alabama.
Ole Miss has us and A&M. If they don’t win both series they’re done. So if we beat they need to sweep A&M or they’re done.
Alabama needs 3 wins to have a chance and 4 to really lock themselves in. They have us and Auburn. If we beat them they need to sweep auburn to finish ahead of us, which is possible.
If we win our next 2 series, we’re in a pretty good spot to be 13-17 and finish 8-10 the conference
Likely Outcome:
Vandy finishes 13-17 but could finish as bad as 11-19. I dont see them winning either series on their schedule.
Florida Finishes 12-18. A&M and MSU each win but don’t sweep.
Alabama: 13-17 I think we win and Auburn takes 1
Ole Miss: 11-19 lose both remaining series.
LSU 13-17 I think we’d be 9 in the standings ahead of Alabama.
this weekend is big
Right now Kentucky, UT, Ark, A&M, and MSU are essentially locks.
UGA and SCar probably only need 1 game in their last 6 to get in.
so that’s 7 teams who either have 14 wins or need to go 1/6 to get there.
Missouri and Auburn are done. Just not getting in short of winning the tournament.
Vandy is at 11 wins and has Kentucky and UGA left. I could very easily see them at 13-17 but if they lose both series and get swept I think they’re out.
Florida has 10 wins and has UK and UGA. could easily end up at 12 wins.
Then there is us, Ole Miss and Alabama.
Ole Miss has us and A&M. If they don’t win both series they’re done. So if we beat they need to sweep A&M or they’re done.
Alabama needs 3 wins to have a chance and 4 to really lock themselves in. They have us and Auburn. If we beat them they need to sweep auburn to finish ahead of us, which is possible.
If we win our next 2 series, we’re in a pretty good spot to be 13-17 and finish 8-10 the conference
Likely Outcome:
Vandy finishes 13-17 but could finish as bad as 11-19. I dont see them winning either series on their schedule.
Florida Finishes 12-18. A&M and MSU each win but don’t sweep.
Alabama: 13-17 I think we win and Auburn takes 1
Ole Miss: 11-19 lose both remaining series.
LSU 13-17 I think we’d be 9 in the standings ahead of Alabama.
this weekend is big
This post was edited on 5/8/24 at 11:29 am
Posted on 5/8/24 at 11:12 am to HoldThatTiger03
Unless we soil ourselves, we are getting in.
We have a favorable finish to the schedule. We dont have to win them all but we do need to win the ones we should win. No more sweeps allowed. That would be soiling ourselves.
We have a favorable finish to the schedule. We dont have to win them all but we do need to win the ones we should win. No more sweeps allowed. That would be soiling ourselves.
Posted on 5/8/24 at 11:24 am to HoldThatTiger03
not a tournament team...
Posted on 5/8/24 at 11:24 am to HoldThatTiger03
Can't expect to be back in the championship game after losing that much talent. You can try your best to reload, but sometimes those prospects don't pan out, or they take a while to develop into stars
Posted on 5/8/24 at 12:57 pm to HoldThatTiger03
It makes sense. UF & Bama are 10-14 and the 9th and 10th SEC teams in and LSU is one game back of them both right now tied for 11th in the standings. Pass either UF or Bama and that will get them in.
Posted on 5/8/24 at 3:02 pm to HoldThatTiger03
ON3 has LSU last 4 in
https://www.on3.com/news/field-of-64-projections-new-host-emerges-while-bubble-heats-up-ncaa-tournament-college-baseball/
Chapel Hill Regional
1. North Carolina (6)
2. Louisiana
3. LSU
4. Austin Peay*
I think I would like our odds there.
https://www.on3.com/news/field-of-64-projections-new-host-emerges-while-bubble-heats-up-ncaa-tournament-college-baseball/
Chapel Hill Regional
1. North Carolina (6)
2. Louisiana
3. LSU
4. Austin Peay*
I think I would like our odds there.
Posted on 5/8/24 at 9:06 pm to HoldThatTiger03
Pretty much means win the last two series and they are in
Posted on 5/8/24 at 9:09 pm to HoldThatTiger03
Probably already posted but d1baseball projection released today also had lsu first four out. #66
I’ll feel pretty comfortable we make a regional at 13-17 if we win 2/3 this weekend and next weekend. Guess if I’m being honest if we go winless in Hoover maybe I’ll clinch my butthole a little bit on selection day.
I’ll feel pretty comfortable we make a regional at 13-17 if we win 2/3 this weekend and next weekend. Guess if I’m being honest if we go winless in Hoover maybe I’ll clinch my butthole a little bit on selection day.
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