re: 13 wins = 38%

quote:

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Pm's last year was 13-17. Got in and won a regional. 13 wins is noted and will get in with a decent rpi. Book it

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That was a little bit of an odd year in that games across the nation were still being routinely cancelled because of "safety concerns".

That means the committee probably leaned on other metrics (such as RPI, SOS) more than they might have in other years. That said, LSU was NOT one of the "last four in". Their RPI was in the top 35. More noteworthy, LSU's SOS was in the top 5

If LSU can take 2/3 in their final 2 series they will almost assuredly have a top 35 RPI. Unfortunately, their SOS right now is 22. It will get better playing Alabama and Ole Miss. But not near top 5. (Probably top 15, at best). Still, those numbers would give LSU a very strong argument to get in. Even stronger if Ole Miss and Florida end up with losing records overall...which is a very real possibility given Ole Miss (currently 25-22) finishes with A&M (3x), @ Southern Miss, @ LSU (3x), and Florida (currently 24-23 finishes with South Florida, Kentucky (3x), @ Georgia (3x)

There is no requirement that a mandatory number of SEC teams reach the NCAA Tournament. So just because Ole Miss and Florida may essentially play themselves out doesn't mean LSU automatically gets in as the 9th team. But the committee is going to give deference to the SEC because it is the strongest conference.