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re: Forecaster who hasn't missed a presidential prediction in 40 YEARS reveals prediction

Posted on 5/1/24 at 9:14 am to
Posted by 19
Flux Capacitor, Fluxing
Member since Nov 2007
33228 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 9:14 am to
Hard to believe this boomer picked Trump in 2016
Posted by shinerfan
Duckworld(Earth-616)
Member since Sep 2009
22448 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 9:15 am to
quote:

hasn't missed a presidential prediction in 40 YEARS



Is this Phil Steele's cousin?



Posted by 756
Member since Sep 2004
14885 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 9:16 am to
quote:

So which Republican would have beaten JB?


The swamp says Jeb Bush
Posted by ronricks
Member since Mar 2021
7103 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 9:17 am to
quote:

Bull fricking shite! Donald Trump only exists as a political force


W Bush gave us Obama who gave us Trump who then gave us Biden. Its clear to see this for anyone who doesn't have TDS and thinks Trump walks on water and won states like California and New York.

Biden literally only won because Trump is so divisive and because of 2020. That's it. Half the people voting for Biden don't think he is a savior or doing a good job they are just voting against Trump. Compare that to Trump's base who literally think he is a savior and the only person who can 'fix' the country when he had a big hand in fricking it up to begin with. Those people would likely be more apathetic this go round if Trump weren't on the ticket and would stay home and not vote at all but they will crawl over broken glass to vote against Trump.
This post was edited on 5/1/24 at 9:19 am
Posted by TigerAxeOK
Where I lay my head is home.
Member since Dec 2016
24957 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 9:19 am to
quote:

Third party:

There is no significant third party or independent campaign.



^^^ This guy ^^^ is a potential nightmare for the Establishment DNXi.

Biden is still going to be named the "winner" because no one did anything to fix the issues of the 2020 election, and the GOPe are just the controlled opposition wing of the DNXi. However, RFK2 has the potential to make it really close and push the Establishment to commit unprecedented fraud that is impossible for the public at large to comfortably ignore.
Posted by Rip Torner
Member since Jul 2023
571 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 9:19 am to
If you aren’t voting for Trump boy wonder then you are voting for Biden. I don’t know why that’s difficult for you to understand? George Washington isn’t walking through the door and the conservative purity tests thrust upon Trump that weren’t on the Bush’s, McCain, or Romney is comical. You either show up to vote for Trump like everyone should or you bitch and moan about his candidacy while staying home dreaming of candidates that don’t exist or aren’t running meanwhile we are stuck with four more years of retardation while you scream “I told you so” by not voting or voting third party.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
74162 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 9:21 am to
quote:

Obama who gave us Trump who then gave us Biden




Are you going to provide a name of who could beat JB?

We know its not Trump cause he already lost
Posted by Godfather1
What WAS St George, Louisiana
Member since Oct 2006
79833 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 9:22 am to
quote:

So which Republican would have beaten JB?


quote:

Not Trump


Not an answer, meathead.
Posted by ronricks
Member since Mar 2021
7103 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 9:23 am to
quote:

If you aren’t voting for Trump boy wonder then you are voting for Biden.

No. I'm voting for RFK Jr.
quote:

You either show up to vote for Trump like everyone should

Trump hasn't earned my vote. Why? Its very simple:
Milley
Wray
Bolton
all of 2020

That's it. That along with his age, health, and insane ramblings. We don't need to replace one cognitively declining octogenarian with yet another cognitively declining octogenarian. That's fricking stupid.
Posted by BHS78
Member since May 2017
2087 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 9:23 am to
Do you really think Biden got more votes than Obama, if you do than you probably think a man can have a baby.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
74162 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 9:24 am to
quote:

I'm voting for RFK Jr.


Just confirming you are a dem a d voted JB in 2020
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
39607 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 9:27 am to
A lot of people predict the winner. If ten thousand monkeys predicted the winner, with 50/50 odds, there would likely be one monkey who got them all correct for the last 14 cycles. When you consider that three of those elections were blowouts, and take those out of the equation, then all you need are 2,048 monkeys to end up with one who gets all 14 correct. (That’s 2 raised to the eleventh power).
Posted by Rip Torner
Member since Jul 2023
571 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 9:29 am to
You are the problem not Trump or his voters. Voting for a candidate who is as liberal on most issues as Biden while arguing Trump isn’t conservative is comical. You might as well be a white, suburban mom motivated by abortion. Another four years of Biden will be on you and the millions of others who will do the same not Trump
Posted by ronricks
Member since Mar 2021
7103 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 9:31 am to
quote:

Do you really think Biden got more votes than Obama




Did Obama have the benefit of mass mail in voting in 2008 or 2012? We covered this last week. How do you simps not understand this? Had Obama had the luxury of mail in voting and drop boxes in 2008 he likely eclipses 80 million votes. One last time for the TDS retards on here: NEITHER Trump or Biden come close to their 2020 vote totals WITHOUT mail in voting.
This post was edited on 5/1/24 at 9:32 am
Posted by BamaMamaof2
Atlanta, GA
Member since Nov 2019
2393 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 9:33 am to
quote:

There is no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination. Incumbency:

The incumbent party candidate is the sitting president. Third party:

There is no significant third party or independent campaign. RFK

Short term economy: The economy is not in recession during the election campaign. YES IT IS

Long term economy: Real per capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms. WRONG

Policy change: The incumbent administration affects major changes in national policy. IN THE WRONG WAY

Social unrest: There is no sustained social unrest during the term. TURN ON THE NEWS

Scandal: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal. REALLY??

Foreign/military failure: The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs. GOT OT BE A JOKE

Foreign/military success: The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs. REALLY??

Incumbent charisma: The incumbent party candidate is charismatic or a national hero. LOL

Challenger charisma: The challenging party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero. TRUMP IS VERY CHARISMATIC
Posted by AlwysATgr
Member since Apr 2008
16513 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 9:34 am to
Who did he pick to win in that 1776 dust-up with the red coats?
Posted by LSUvet72
Member since Sep 2013
12116 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 9:35 am to
He didn’t state the Marxist Democrat’s will cheat their arses off again
Posted by ronricks
Member since Mar 2021
7103 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 9:35 am to
quote:

You are the problem not Trump


Oh really? I'm not going to reward Trump for his awful appointments or 2020 like you are but "I" am the problem?

Do you even see what you are saying/doing? Trump did an awful job last time he followed up on none of his promises with regards to Illegal Immigration, Infrastructure, etc. and you clowns want to reward him all over again. Make this make sense! It would be like the Dems rewarding Biden for his awful term by re-electing him. Neither one of these imbeciles is fit for office. How do we know this as voters? Because both had a chance and were failures. You DO NOT reward failure(s).
Posted by 19
Flux Capacitor, Fluxing
Member since Nov 2007
33228 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 9:37 am to
You're a fool
Posted by roadGator
Member since Feb 2009
140692 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 9:41 am to
You are spot on and now we just have to hope the commies get bored with hating him and don’t come out in droves to vote.

That’s not happening though because the left will scare the loons into a frenzy

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