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Do we have an argument to get in a regional…
Posted on 4/29/24 at 1:03 pm
Posted on 4/29/24 at 1:03 pm
If we don’t get to 13 or 14 SEC wins?
What does the committee take into consideration when it comes to a teams record in conference and out? I’m not aware of many other teams that have played the schedule we have. It’s kind of nuts that we are going to end up playing two weekend series against the #1 ranked team in the country.
iMO LSU does have a legitimate argument on its hands in regards to scheduling. We don’t have to go any further than ULL to get an idea. By my count they are 1-4 against teams that were ranked when they played. Yes they have an impressive conference record but 9 of their 13 losses have come from out of conference opponents.
LSU has played more games against ranked teams in just two SEC weekend series than ULL has played the entire season. Not to mention the fact LSU has actually beaten ULL head to head on a neutral site. LSU also has more wins against ranked teams.
I’m not saying that LSU deserves to get in, but their out of conference record has to carry some weight. I also don’t think this team could win a Super Regional, but I do believe there isn’t any team in the country that wants to see LSU in their regional.
Curious to hear from the guys who know more about the committees selection criteria from the past bc from everything I can tell, we need 14 conference wins to get in. Has there ever been a scenario where a team had such a loaded schedule, poor conference record, and still got in?
What does the committee take into consideration when it comes to a teams record in conference and out? I’m not aware of many other teams that have played the schedule we have. It’s kind of nuts that we are going to end up playing two weekend series against the #1 ranked team in the country.
iMO LSU does have a legitimate argument on its hands in regards to scheduling. We don’t have to go any further than ULL to get an idea. By my count they are 1-4 against teams that were ranked when they played. Yes they have an impressive conference record but 9 of their 13 losses have come from out of conference opponents.
LSU has played more games against ranked teams in just two SEC weekend series than ULL has played the entire season. Not to mention the fact LSU has actually beaten ULL head to head on a neutral site. LSU also has more wins against ranked teams.
I’m not saying that LSU deserves to get in, but their out of conference record has to carry some weight. I also don’t think this team could win a Super Regional, but I do believe there isn’t any team in the country that wants to see LSU in their regional.
Curious to hear from the guys who know more about the committees selection criteria from the past bc from everything I can tell, we need 14 conference wins to get in. Has there ever been a scenario where a team had such a loaded schedule, poor conference record, and still got in?
25
Posted on 4/29/24 at 1:05 pm to FredbullTN
Only argument is what happens in the next three series and SECT. 13 wins (which is a longshot, but not impossible) plus two wins in SECT should push them over, given not many stolen bids.
Posted on 4/29/24 at 1:09 pm to FredbullTN
Imagine being happy going to play in the Lafayette regional 
Posted on 4/29/24 at 1:10 pm to FredbullTN
No. We do not have an argument whatsoever. If the best argument is "you're letting another team in that played a weaker schedule" then why ever let teams in that play weaker schedules? ULL has won against the schedule it was handed and LSU has not. LSU lost to Southern, Xavier, Stony Brook, Missouri, and Auburn. We've been run ruled 4 times in conference.
No we do not have an argument.
No we do not have an argument.
Posted on 4/29/24 at 1:11 pm to FredbullTN
Short Answer - Nope.
Long Answer - Nope, time for football
Long Answer - Nope, time for football
Posted on 4/29/24 at 1:12 pm to FredbullTN
Auburn’s schedule is just as tough, if not tougher than ours. And we don’t get any benefit of don’t because our OOC schedule is so bad. Schools like Florida Texas A&M, Wake Forest, etc can boost their resume by winning midweek games against good competition. We can’t do that.
Posted on 4/29/24 at 1:16 pm to FredbullTN
Last year Georgia: 29-27 (11-19) had an RPI hovering around 40. Like LSU, they played a strong SEC schedule. One that included winning series against Kentucky and Tennessee, along with sweeping Arkansas. They didn't make a regional
LSU is on pace for a better overall record than 2023 Georgia. But it will be against a weaker NC schedule. LSU currently has an RPI of 42. Also, LSU hasn't won any SEC series of note. Beating Missouri and Auburn won't move the needle.
Bottom line is this: The next two weeks will likely determine LSU's season. If they can take 2/3 vs. Alabama and A&M, they will have a decent shot of sneaking into a regional. Lose both series, and you can pretty much close the book on postseason play.
LSU is on pace for a better overall record than 2023 Georgia. But it will be against a weaker NC schedule. LSU currently has an RPI of 42. Also, LSU hasn't won any SEC series of note. Beating Missouri and Auburn won't move the needle.
Bottom line is this: The next two weeks will likely determine LSU's season. If they can take 2/3 vs. Alabama and A&M, they will have a decent shot of sneaking into a regional. Lose both series, and you can pretty much close the book on postseason play.
This post was edited on 4/29/24 at 1:18 pm
Posted on 4/29/24 at 1:58 pm to FredbullTN
We can argue that the regionals are not the regionals without the LSU Tigers but I don’t think that is going to work.
Posted on 4/29/24 at 2:02 pm to FredbullTN
quote:
If we don’t get to 13 or 14 SEC wins?
Is it possible? Sure. Is it likely? No. Only a run in the SECT would make that happen, it would probably take 3 or 4 wins which would put us in semis or the championship.
Posted on 4/29/24 at 2:27 pm to FredbullTN
No, move on.
Posted on 4/29/24 at 2:41 pm to FredbullTN
quote:
If we don’t get to 13 or 14 SEC wins?
no
Posted on 4/29/24 at 2:59 pm to FredbullTN
quote:
but I do believe there isn’t any team in the country that wants to see LSU in their regional.
It is what it is, but I really don't see this LSU team striking fear in anyone this year. They just don't have the firepower, offensively. Not trying to hate on them, but it's just fact. They struggle to score runs, especially the crooked numbers.
Posted on 4/29/24 at 3:04 pm to FredbullTN
Honestly, our only argument is, if we're on the bubble, we are the defending champions and the college baseball version of Alabama. Reputation will get us some consideration that other schools won't get.
Posted on 4/29/24 at 3:17 pm to FredbullTN
Win 2 out of 3 at A&M and you may have a chance. But not really lol.
Posted on 4/29/24 at 3:38 pm to FredbullTN
quote:
but I do believe there isn’t any team in the country that wants to see LSU in their regional.
Lol
Nobody is scared of this team
Posted on 4/29/24 at 3:43 pm to FredbullTN
No, just no. As I said before, if we were to get into some regional, we would just get our shite pushed in. Let it go, this season is over.
Posted on 4/29/24 at 3:55 pm to FredbullTN
If it happens this is going to be a run for the ages.
Posted on 4/29/24 at 6:56 pm to FredbullTN
not no but HELL NO
Posted on 4/29/24 at 8:16 pm to FredbullTN
No
Posted on 4/29/24 at 9:45 pm to FredbullTN
quote:as of now, no.
Do we have an argument to get in a regional…
We're the defending champs, and return a few significant bats and pitchers, as well as having added through transfers and recruiting. Since conference play started, we have been extremely underwhelming. We lost our first 5 series, got swept by both teams in line to be national seeds. Lost to a couple decent teams, including 2 series to teams not currently ranked. We finally hit a stretch where we're playing other teams not in contention, and won those series, but neither were sweeps. We most recently failed to sweep Auburn, who came into the series with 2 conference wins. Game 2 was down to the wire, we had to win in the bottom of the 9th. Game 3, we trailed from wire to wire.
We have won just 1 game 3 of a series in 7 attempts, and have been run-ruled 3 times in those games, when a win would have won the series.
I objectively fail to see where you could evaluate LSU and say they could be in a regional, and have any chance of winning beyond the second game. It could be an elimination game against a 4 seed, and our pitching would suggest we'd lose. We've had one consistent pitcher, Holman, who is beginning to taper off now. We have one currently intriguing pitcher, Jump. We have a moribund offense that leaves the stadium after the 6th inning, and a bullpen that can't hold leads to save their lives.
LSU, as of now, has a decent early season and the program reputation, and that's it.
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