re: 2 year inverted yield curve

quote:

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You see on the link a large correction in 2008, we are the peak today. It could even be worse than a 2008 correction. It may get back in line with 1950 through 2000 rates.

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Your "analysis" leaves out many MANY relevant factors.

For one, the 2008 bubble pop was led by housing, not trailed by it. And that was because housing had become a game - zero equity, crazy leverage, etc. As anyone on here knows who has bought a house in the last 10 years - regardless of how good of a credit you are - it's MUCH harder to get a mortgage than back then.

IOW, homeowners have much more equity and are much better credits in the first place.

You might also take a look at price to rent ratios from now as compared to 2008. I can guarantee you they are way more in line now than they were then. And that's really what a piece of real estate is - the PV of future cashflows to be delivered.