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re: 2 year inverted yield curve
Posted on 4/22/24 at 8:31 am to SlidellCajun
Posted on 4/22/24 at 8:31 am to SlidellCajun
The recession usually comes within 6-12 months after the inversion ends, we're still inverted. LINK
Prior to the current period, the longest lasting inversion was from September 1978 through April 1980 (20 months). The current inversion started at the beginning of July 2022 and is still going (meaning we're over 22 months and counting).
There's no known correlation between inversion depth/length and the intensity/length of the following recession.
Prior to the current period, the longest lasting inversion was from September 1978 through April 1980 (20 months). The current inversion started at the beginning of July 2022 and is still going (meaning we're over 22 months and counting).
There's no known correlation between inversion depth/length and the intensity/length of the following recession.
This post was edited on 4/22/24 at 8:32 am
1
Posted on 4/22/24 at 8:43 am to Bard
I've seen several charts lately floating around on twitter that point out the only 3 recessions where the yield curve was inverted this long were 1929, the aforementioned 1974, and then 2007. All were 50+% drops in the markets.
Game of Trades
Let's hope the correlation doesn't stick.
Game of Trades
Let's hope the correlation doesn't stick.
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