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Started By
Message
Can betting gurus make light of this line
Posted on 6/23/23 at 9:47 pm
Posted on 6/23/23 at 9:47 pm
DraftKings has lsu +1.5 @-180 with moneyline at -110. That’s a very unusual line
4
Posted on 6/23/23 at 9:50 pm to roguetiger15
Nah, it makes sense. Most games have been 1-3 run games, so they are charging a large price to grab +1.5. IMO, if you are going to bet this game, dont take the run line, take the moneyline
Posted on 6/23/23 at 9:51 pm to josh336
Gotcha. That’s what I was thinking too. That spread is a bad value
This post was edited on 6/23/23 at 9:52 pm
Posted on 6/23/23 at 9:53 pm to roguetiger15
When I was a teenager and sports betting was popular, I learned that betting for or against LSU lost me money.
I hate LSU losing more than I hate losing money.
I'll admit to buying a lottery ticket every now and then.
I hate LSU losing more than I hate losing money.
I'll admit to buying a lottery ticket every now and then.
Posted on 6/23/23 at 9:55 pm to Btrtigerfan
Making money on lsu baseball the first month or so this year was really easy. Except for the bulls shite null bets on run ruled games.
Posted on 6/23/23 at 10:12 pm to roguetiger15
If you are going to take a run line, take -1.5 at + money
Fan Duel has LSU -1.5 at +154
Fan Duel has LSU -1.5 at +154
This post was edited on 6/23/23 at 10:14 pm
Posted on 6/23/23 at 10:29 pm to TheWalrus
quote:
If you are going to take a run line, take -1.5 at + money Fan Duel has LSU -1.5 at +154
I sprinkled some on the run line along with the ML. We generally win by margin when we beat someone.
Posted on 6/23/23 at 10:53 pm to Earthquake 88
I just did a quick perusal and if my counting is correct, only 4 of LSU’s 52 wins this season were by 1 run, getting a healthy amount of extra juice seems worth it.
Posted on 6/24/23 at 12:05 am to roguetiger15
quote:
lsu +1.5 @-180 with moneyline at -110.
Would someone explain this to me like I’m a senator from Pennsylvania?
Posted on 6/24/23 at 1:27 am to SlapahoeTribe
I would love to hear an explanation too
Posted on 6/24/23 at 1:33 am to SlapahoeTribe
quote:
DraftKings has lsu +1.5 @-180 with moneyline at -110. That’s a very unusual line
quote:
Would someone explain this to me like I’m a senator from Pennsylvania?
You’re polling well in the suburbs but it’s a tossup in the big cities. 538 still shows you’re leading but it depends on a couple key districts. If our machine can stuff the ballots and guarantee the Philly precinct, we’re confident you’ll win
Posted on 6/24/23 at 1:38 am to Quatrepot
Those are the odds on the bet. If the odds are negative it’s the amount needed to bet to win $100. If they are positive if the amount a $100 bet will return. Basically you are betting $110 to make $100 for an LSU win and $180 to make $100 for us to stay within a run. Typically that line would be more like -145. It just means Vegas is getting more action on the game being close than people picking a winner. The odds for -1.5 for Florida are paying around +150 which is a good price when they have a money line around -120. Shows they are having a hard time getting people to give up runs.
This post was edited on 6/24/23 at 1:44 am
Posted on 6/24/23 at 1:42 am to MeanStreak
Thank you
Posted on 6/24/23 at 1:47 am to Quatrepot
Betting on games like this are always more indicative of the action and not a true prediction. They aren’t nearly as good at pricing college baseball as something like the NFL. Hell the O/U for the Skenes/Louder game was 7.5…
Posted on 6/24/23 at 2:23 am to MeanStreak
Thank you. 
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