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re: LSU Baseball 2023 (and beyond) Recruiting Thread - Old Thread - Please unpin
Posted on 7/11/23 at 8:23 am to Lester Earl
Posted on 7/11/23 at 8:23 am to Lester Earl
quote:Yep, two high school players in round 11 at 1.5 and 1.25, then Carter Young at 1.3.
Last year, 3 players were paid more than $1.0mil from Rounds 11-20. Out of 299 draft picks.
When it comes to Johnson specifically his number was clearly much higher than that or someone would have taken him on day 1 and happily paid him that. It’s difficult to see a team being able to save 2.5+ so now it’s a matter of whether he panics and lowers his number, or if he has had an agreement with a team at a lower price the entire time and has been actively throwing others off (hometown Baltimore for a hypothetical).
2
Posted on 7/11/23 at 8:26 am to 3rdPart Tiger
It never ceases to amaze me how much Moscona talks out of his arse. I suppose him being affiliated with ESPN though makes it where nobody should be shocked.
Posted on 7/11/23 at 8:26 am to Lester Earl
Thank you for those numbers. I was wondering the same thing, but would have never did the research myself.
On that note, here is my quarterly thank you to all of the regulars in here. TD gets a bad rep overall, but this thread is underrated. You guys provide some of the most centralized information regarding baseball recruiting and us purple and gold fans really appreciate it.
On that note, here is my quarterly thank you to all of the regulars in here. TD gets a bad rep overall, but this thread is underrated. You guys provide some of the most centralized information regarding baseball recruiting and us purple and gold fans really appreciate it.
Posted on 7/11/23 at 8:28 am to banthony1
Of the players that did not sign in Rds 11-20, this is the breakdown. '0' represents 1 player.
HS 00000000000000000000000000000000
COLLEGE 0000000000000
JUCO 00000
HS 00000000000000000000000000000000
COLLEGE 0000000000000
JUCO 00000
Posted on 7/11/23 at 8:29 am to MOT
quote:
Yep, two high school players in round 11 at 1.5 and 1.25, then Carter Young at 1.3.
When it comes to Johnson specifically his number was clearly much higher than that or someone would have taken him on day 1 and happily paid him that. It’s difficult to see a team being able to save 2.5+ so now it’s a matter of whether he panics and lowers his number, or if he has had an agreement with a team at a lower price the entire time and has been actively throwing others off (hometown Baltimore for a hypothetical).
This pretty well sums up my thoughts. Thanks for supplying the numbers guys
Posted on 7/11/23 at 8:32 am to MOT
Yap, we will see how much he really wants to play professionally or not. I think he is well past getting what he originally wanted
Posted on 7/11/23 at 8:33 am to josh336
Should we be concerned about Johnson choosing the JUCO route and re-entering next year?
Posted on 7/11/23 at 8:34 am to clownbaby
No idea, guess you cant rule it out, but seems like jay is pretty in tune with his recruits, a kid throwing him off like that seems unlikely
Posted on 7/11/23 at 8:36 am to clownbaby
quote:
Should we be concerned about Johnson choosing the JUCO route and re-entering next year?
It’s certainly always possible. No way to know what he is thinking though.
Posted on 7/11/23 at 8:37 am to clownbaby
He might, but then the questions around his health that may have lowered his stock this year will be replaced by questions about the level of competition he faced.
Better to come to LSU for a couple years, dominate at the highest level and then remove all doubt and pocket double what you wanted a few years before.
At least thats what my completely biased opinion would be.
Better to come to LSU for a couple years, dominate at the highest level and then remove all doubt and pocket double what you wanted a few years before.
At least thats what my completely biased opinion would be.
Posted on 7/11/23 at 8:40 am to clownbaby
quote:
Should we be concerned about Johnson choosing the JUCO route and re-entering next year?
If he does, imo, it would mean his slide was completely due to teams being worried about his medicals. If that’s the case, you’d probably get a short career out of him anyway.
Posted on 7/11/23 at 8:45 am to lsugradman
If i’m Jay i’m sending him all Crews stuff lol..I know it’s different played positions but the comp from a “highly touted” prospect is there lol
Posted on 7/11/23 at 8:45 am to Datsmoneydude
quote:You're out your fckn mind if you think for one second he'd choose a year in the minors over a college natty
He’s basically been untouchable in the minors. He’s fine
Posted on 7/11/23 at 8:51 am to josh336
quote:
Cold Hard Draft Facts after 2 days and 10 Rounds.
Draft by Position Total Number then how many HS
314 Drafted - (66 High School)
RHP - 121 (29 HS)
LHP - 37 (3 HS)
SS - 49 (20 HS)
1B - 8 (0 HS)
2B- 7 (0 HS)
3B - 17 (2 HS)
OF - 55 (12 HS)
This breakdown is crazy. Only 3 HS LHP drafted.
Posted on 7/11/23 at 8:54 am to 3rdPart Tiger
I went thru Rounds 11-20 from last year and a few things stood out.
High School kids
- 23/31 (74%) drafted in R11-16 signed
- 10/35 (28%) drafted in R17-20 signed
JUCO kids
- 26/31 (84%) drafted signed
College kids
- 146/150 (97%) drafted in R11-17 signed
- 44/53 (83%) drafted in R18-20 signed
High School kids
- 23/31 (74%) drafted in R11-16 signed
- 10/35 (28%) drafted in R17-20 signed
JUCO kids
- 26/31 (84%) drafted signed
College kids
- 146/150 (97%) drafted in R11-17 signed
- 44/53 (83%) drafted in R18-20 signed
Posted on 7/11/23 at 8:57 am to 3rdPart Tiger
Seems like the teams to keep an eye on today is the Mariners, Mets, Nationals, Astros, and Guardians. They all seem to be in position to have some pool money to go over to meet a players price point in the 11-20 rounds.
Posted on 7/11/23 at 8:59 am to lsugradman
Johnson will more than likely get drafted in rounds 17 through 20 but will not sign. Several years ago, the Mets drafted Kumar Rocker 10th overall, but he failed his physical and didn't sign. They received an extra pick in the next draft, but they lost pool money allocated for that pick that could have been used for another player. Now, clubs draft unsigned top 100 players with their last few picks as "insurance" just in case something like this happens. Two LSU commits were drafted by the Brewers in last year's draft for this reason.
Posted on 7/11/23 at 9:06 am to lsutgrfan10
quote:And even though this number is high, outside of the two 1MM+ mentioned earlier and a few others who got 300-600K, the rest signed for 200K or less and probably never intended to go to school.
High School kids
- 23/31 (74%) drafted in R11-16 signed
Posted on 7/11/23 at 9:42 am to lsutgrfan10
quote:
High School kids
- 23/31 (74%) drafted in R11-16 signed
- 10/35 (28%) drafted in R17-20 signed
So exactly 50% (33/66) of high schoolers drafted on day 3 went to college last year.
Curious to see the rankings on HS kids drafted in rounds 11-16 vs 17-20. I would think for the most part the higher ranked guys are drafted in rounds 17-20, but they’re also committed to schools with better facilities and coaching and are comfortable taking the college route. Not even talking NIL either.
Posted on 7/11/23 at 10:59 am to 9th Green At 9
quote:
You're out your fckn mind if you think for one second he'd choose a year in the minors over a college natty
You seem very confident. What are you basing that off of?
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