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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Posted on 5/9/24 at 2:20 pm to
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
2111 posts
Posted on 5/9/24 at 2:20 pm to
quote:

There will be no "peace deal,


Ban bet?

I don't think Russia will completely annihilate Ukraine, and they aren't just going to drop tools and go home if they start losing either. There will be a deal of some form struck eventually.
Posted by No Colors
Sandbar
Member since Sep 2010
10485 posts
Posted on 5/9/24 at 2:29 pm to
quote:

There will be a deal of some form struck eventually.


All wars end with a peace deal of some sort. The question of who's terms is still in the air.

The one thing anyone with any sense knows for sure: A "peace deal" that gives Russia 20% of Ukraine would be just another chapter in a 10+ year war. It wouldn't be stable. It wouldn't last. It wouldn't solve anything. And neither side would honor it.

It would just be a pause in the kinetic fighting to let both sides reorganize for the next chapter.

Russia has to find a way to totally defeat Ukraine (which looks entirely unlikely) or Russia has to be convinced to pack up and go home. And we're a long way from either of those two things happening I'm afraid.
Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
643 posts
Posted on 5/9/24 at 3:08 pm to
quote:

quote:
There will be no "peace deal,


Ban bet?

I don't think Russia will completely annihilate Ukraine, and they aren't just going to drop tools and go home if they start losing either. There will be a deal of some form struck eventually.


Russia has to stick to the deal... like the ceasefires they agreed to and never stuck to...
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
36155 posts
Posted on 5/9/24 at 4:03 pm to
quote:

I don't think Russia will completely annihilate Ukraine, and they aren't just going to drop tools and go home if they start losing either. There will be a deal of some form struck eventually.


Even a deal doesn’t end the war. Look at Korea for instance.
Posted by RuLSU
Chicago, IL
Member since Nov 2007
8088 posts
Posted on 5/9/24 at 9:13 pm to
quote:

I don't think Russia will completely annihilate Ukraine, and they aren't just going to drop tools and go home if they start losing either. There will be a deal of some form struck eventually.

I think Russia will end up with Crimea + Donbas, Ukraine is allowed to join EU and gain "security guarantees" that makes Ukraine NATO in all but name.

But good lord, Russia had a T-34 on display in their parade? Jesus.
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