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Started By
Message
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Posted on 5/9/24 at 2:20 pm to Lee B
Posted on 5/9/24 at 2:20 pm to Lee B
quote:
There will be no "peace deal,
Ban bet?
I don't think Russia will completely annihilate Ukraine, and they aren't just going to drop tools and go home if they start losing either. There will be a deal of some form struck eventually.
Posted on 5/9/24 at 2:29 pm to VolSquatch
quote:
There will be a deal of some form struck eventually.
All wars end with a peace deal of some sort. The question of who's terms is still in the air.
The one thing anyone with any sense knows for sure: A "peace deal" that gives Russia 20% of Ukraine would be just another chapter in a 10+ year war. It wouldn't be stable. It wouldn't last. It wouldn't solve anything. And neither side would honor it.
It would just be a pause in the kinetic fighting to let both sides reorganize for the next chapter.
Russia has to find a way to totally defeat Ukraine (which looks entirely unlikely) or Russia has to be convinced to pack up and go home. And we're a long way from either of those two things happening I'm afraid.
Posted on 5/9/24 at 3:08 pm to VolSquatch
quote:
quote:
There will be no "peace deal,
Ban bet?
I don't think Russia will completely annihilate Ukraine, and they aren't just going to drop tools and go home if they start losing either. There will be a deal of some form struck eventually.
Russia has to stick to the deal... like the ceasefires they agreed to and never stuck to...
Posted on 5/9/24 at 4:03 pm to VolSquatch
quote:
I don't think Russia will completely annihilate Ukraine, and they aren't just going to drop tools and go home if they start losing either. There will be a deal of some form struck eventually.
Even a deal doesn’t end the war. Look at Korea for instance.
Posted on 5/9/24 at 9:13 pm to VolSquatch
quote:
I don't think Russia will completely annihilate Ukraine, and they aren't just going to drop tools and go home if they start losing either. There will be a deal of some form struck eventually.
I think Russia will end up with Crimea + Donbas, Ukraine is allowed to join EU and gain "security guarantees" that makes Ukraine NATO in all but name.
But good lord, Russia had a T-34 on display in their parade? Jesus.
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