re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

You raise some interesting points but let me cut to this.

quote:

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Russia can make lots of artillery shells. And lots of guns. And lots of guys to carry them. But what if it runs out of artillery barrels? What if it runs out of counter battery radars?

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We already know from satellite imagery, which anyone can purchase, that they have at most 2.5 more years of boneyard old equipment which gets a new coat of paint and some bearings greased up. It has been in outdoor storage (not in a dry desert like our Sierra Depot) which does deteriorate steel. Gun tubes have already been removed from some fo that to replace what is already in the fight and worn out.

The real juicy part is that Russia still uses crates without even pallets. Everything is hand loaded onto rail cars, then hand offloaded to far behind the lines supply dumps than hand loaded onto trucks (which Russia is short on already and not even good ones) to get to smaller storage depots near the front. That is a lot of extra manpower needed and extra handling. Shortcomings in reliability of mechanical equipment is nothing new for Russia. It's "vaunted" T-34 tank needed complete overhaul after 125 miles even if not in the rigors of combat maneuver