re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

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People keep saying that time is on Russia's side. But I don't believe that.

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The realistic outlook is that we don't know who is on a shorter timeline.
Neither side can go on forever. I maintain that both sides are puffing up their chests before ultimately going to the table sometime before November. I really hope a peace deal is achieved and that Ukraine gets a good deal.

Relying on outside help isn't sustainable, especially during shaky economic conditions when sending aid to another country can go from "controversial" to "overwhelmingly unpopular" pretty quickly if things deteriorate.

We know Russia is pulling a not-insignificant amount of their more expensive stuff like vehicles out of storage rather than getting new stuff from the factory. We know their manufacturing capacity even on smaller equipment isn't great, but on some things its actually quite impressive.

You read one source and Ukraine is running out of men, you read another and they can call up millions more if they want. You see videos of Ukrainians happily taking Russian abandoned equipment, then you see another of someone forcibly conscripted and being dragged into a van. We are more than "shot in the dark" level informed, but because of propaganda from boht sides its not much more.