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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Posted on 5/8/24 at 10:25 pm to
Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
693 posts
Posted on 5/8/24 at 10:25 pm to
Thank you for these posts.

quote:

Recent satellite imagery of depleted Russian military vehicle and weapons storage facilities further indicates that Russia is currently sustaining its war effort largely by pulling from storage rather than by manufacturing new vehicles and certain weapons at scale.

Russia is relying on vast Soviet-era stores of vehicles and other equipment to sustain operations and losses in Ukraine at a level far higher than the current Russian DIB could support, nor will Russia be able to mobilize its DIB to replenish these stores for many years.


This is notable.
Posted by No Colors
Sandbar
Member since Sep 2010
10537 posts
Posted on 5/9/24 at 1:12 pm to
quote:

Russia is relying on vast Soviet-era stores of vehicles and other equipment to sustain operations and losses in Ukraine at a level far higher than the current Russian DIB could support


People keep saying that time is on Russia's side. But I don't believe that.

If you look at it from a supply chain perspective, waging war on this scale is incredibly complex. Hundreds of thousands of moving parts. And all it takes is a handful of those to become a problem that gums up the whole works.

Russia can make lots of artillery shells. And lots of guns. And lots of guys to carry them. But what if it runs out of artillery barrels? What if it runs out of counter battery radars?

My guess is that we know -- within the defense intelligence community -- that Russia has a handful of Achilles heels that will soon come to the surface. And my guess is that information was conveyed in extremely convincing fashion to Congress a couple of months ago. Which is why you saw such a 180 on Capitol Hill.

I don't know what the choke point is. Or when it will start to bite. But my guess is we're about to find out.
Posted by WeeWee
Member since Aug 2012
40213 posts
Posted on 5/9/24 at 7:35 pm to
quote:

Recent satellite imagery of depleted Russian military vehicle and weapons storage facilities further indicates that Russia is currently sustaining its war effort largely by pulling from storage rather than by manufacturing new vehicles and certain weapons at scale.


No shite? Lima Whiskey said that Russia was producing 1500 new tanks per year. Now who should I believe?

quote:

sustain operations and losses in Ukraine at a level far higher than the current Russian DIB could support, nor will Russia be able to mobilize its DIB to replenish these stores for many years.



What about all the chatter of Russia having converted its economy to a war footing? The pro-Russia posters and Ukraine cannot win posters keep telling us about all the malls that have been converted to factories and stuff. Have they been spreading false information?
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