re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

British Defence Intelligence
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE
UPDATE ON UKRAINE 07 May 2024

It is likely that around 9,000 personnel are currently serving in pro-Russian Chechen units in Ukraine

Pro-Russian Chechen forces have been fighting in Ukraine since 2014. Additional Chechen formations were dispatched to Ukraine at the beginning of Russia's full-scale invasion in 2022. However, suffering initial heavy losses, Chechen units became largely relegated to conducting rear area security operations and became derided as 'TikTok' troops for their social media antics. Since the withdrawal of Russia's private military company Wagner from the frontlines from May 2023, Chechen units have been pressed back into frontline service.

It is likely that Chechen special forces units bear the brunt of frontline fighting, whilst the bulk of Chechen forces continue to conduct rear area security operations.

Besides providing personnel, Chechnya's other key contribution to Russia's war against Ukraine is in providing training for Russian personnel. The Russian Special Forces University in Gudermes, Chechnya, has provided training for around 42,000 Russian personnel since 2022, according to Chechnya's leadership. However, it is likely personnel only receive up to 10 days training at the university, bringing the effectiveness of the training and institution into doubt.

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u r dum

“existential”

Russian nuclear weapons pose a threat to the entire world’s existence.

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So they should get more involved, which increases the chance they use nukes against the entire world?

u r dum

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So they should get more involved, which increases the chance they use nukes against the entire world?

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Not really, the redline has been crossed for use of nukes several times over the last 2 years per Russian military doctrine. Use of nukes by Russia means China stops aiding and abetting it with an already collapsing economy. Afterall, Gazprom (state owned) is losing money bigtime. Although, its greatest segment is natural gas, oil also plays a good sized role in both production and refining.

An obese and visibly drugged Steven Seagal struggles to put a sentence together as he's used as a Kremlin propaganda prop to legitimize Putin, likely now his only form of income after destroying his life and career.

"I'm very looking forward to it"

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This is not indicative of NATO involvement, Case closed

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NATO countries are, quite literally, increasing their involvement

You do realize that countries like Poland and France becoming more involved increases the likelihood that Russia does something directly TO those countries, which would initiate Article 5....


Right?

You're bringing up the fricking Sahel as a comparison?

More redlines than hapless Obama drew in Syria.

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?????? #?????? Our source in the General Staff said that the breakthrough of the defense line in Donbass led to additional losses, which the Ukrainian Armed Forces are not able to cover with reserves. The Ukrainian Armed Forces have a growing shortage of manpower due to constant losses at the front. The problem is that the quality of Ukrainian military personnel is constantly declining, who are trained as quickly as possible, without serious training and with low morale, and supplies of equipment will not help reverse this trend.

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The casualty rates are too high for Ukrainian forces to build competence. New units just get ground down and destroyed. So as a whole, the army becomes less capable and less effective over time.

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?????? #?????? Our source at the General Staff said that at headquarters Syrsky asked Zelensky to actively use special police forces to stop the breakthrough in the Avdeevsky direction. The Ukrainian Armed Forces do not have enough reserves to hold the entire front line, and the military is increasingly abandoning positions.

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