re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

quote:

---

Russia has to find a way to totally defeat Ukraine (which looks entirely unlikely) or Russia has to be convinced to pack up and go home. And we're a long way from either of those two things happening I'm afraid.

---

I think Russia would be happy to fortify positions, sit on their hands, and just let Ukraine launch offensives until they can't anymore before they ever let themselves reach a point where they just couldn't manage the war effort logistically anymore. If the 2.5 years of equipment number is true, thats a lot of time to adjust strategy, consumption, and potentially manufacturing to accommodate a longer term plan. To me the winds just don't seem to be blowing in that direction though. If a peace can be achieved Biden will be motivated to do it before November... if Trump wins he will be motivated to achieve it during his term.