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Why LSU will be better than most people think in 2022.
Posted on 1/19/22 at 11:49 am
Posted on 1/19/22 at 11:49 am
I have seen some posts around here saying to lower expectations. It’s not a bad thing to say that, but here is why expectations should be still pretty high.
The Transfer portal:
LSU currently is number 1 in transfer portal rankings. And that will continue throughout. The roster will be filled with more experience.
The Offense:
Best WR corp in the SEC for sure coming into next season. O line will be one of the tops as well. With Brennan returning LSU should be solid offensively.
SEC competition:
Besides maybe UGA and Alabama what school can this fan base name that is clearly better then LSU? It’s a reasonable schedule next year, with some quality games at home.
Good coaching staff:
LSU last season in several games was maybe a “play away”. In fact according to my research LSU led at one point in time in almost all of their games. Coaching will help LSU is these close games.
Dline:
Wingo, Smith, Ojulari, Gaye, Roy, Guillory, is a outstanding Dline.
Top 5-7 HC in the college game.
Brian Kelly you could argue is a top 4 coach behind Saban, Dabo, Smart. He is a proven winner. He is a coach that just knows how to win. LSU can win games with him.
Expectations:
Looking at the schedule and all the prices around this LSU program, I could see 10 wins from this team. Auburn, Florida, Texas AM have a a lot of new pieces as Freshmen, and those coaches do not have the experience of a Brian Kelly.
The Transfer portal:
LSU currently is number 1 in transfer portal rankings. And that will continue throughout. The roster will be filled with more experience.
The Offense:
Best WR corp in the SEC for sure coming into next season. O line will be one of the tops as well. With Brennan returning LSU should be solid offensively.
SEC competition:
Besides maybe UGA and Alabama what school can this fan base name that is clearly better then LSU? It’s a reasonable schedule next year, with some quality games at home.
Good coaching staff:
LSU last season in several games was maybe a “play away”. In fact according to my research LSU led at one point in time in almost all of their games. Coaching will help LSU is these close games.
Dline:
Wingo, Smith, Ojulari, Gaye, Roy, Guillory, is a outstanding Dline.
Top 5-7 HC in the college game.
Brian Kelly you could argue is a top 4 coach behind Saban, Dabo, Smart. He is a proven winner. He is a coach that just knows how to win. LSU can win games with him.
Expectations:
Looking at the schedule and all the prices around this LSU program, I could see 10 wins from this team. Auburn, Florida, Texas AM have a a lot of new pieces as Freshmen, and those coaches do not have the experience of a Brian Kelly.
13
Posted on 1/19/22 at 11:51 am to Tigerbait1977
Good post and thank you for the info you’ve brought to the board. Sometimes things don’t work out and sometimes we are told things that don’t turn out to be accurate but the info sharing is appreciated nonetheless
Posted on 1/19/22 at 11:51 am to Tigerbait1977
AMEN
Posted on 1/19/22 at 11:53 am to Tigerbait1977
Are we still hiring Lincoln?
Posted on 1/19/22 at 11:54 am to Tigerbait1977
I just want to be dominant in games we are supposed to dominate, be competitive in games we are supposed to be competitive in, and in games we are supposed to lose still come out swinging and playing smart and sound football. If we do those three things, it'll be a successful first year of the CBK era.
Posted on 1/19/22 at 11:55 am to Tigerbait1977
quote:
In fact according to my research
Posted on 1/19/22 at 12:00 pm to zadams_318
Let’s take a look at the games LSU was competitive in and was leading. From the games I saw they went though fazes of showing their potential.
Alabama (2) - was leading, and tied late in the game.
Ole Miss (10) - was leading at one point in time
UCLA (NR) was leading at one point in time
Arkansas (18) leading throughout.
Texas AM (15) beat, and was leading most of the time
Florida (NR) leading throughout
Auburn (22) leading throughout, but lost.
If you take a look at some of those, LSU has chances to be a 9-10 win team last season.
Alabama (2) - was leading, and tied late in the game.
Ole Miss (10) - was leading at one point in time
UCLA (NR) was leading at one point in time
Arkansas (18) leading throughout.
Texas AM (15) beat, and was leading most of the time
Florida (NR) leading throughout
Auburn (22) leading throughout, but lost.
If you take a look at some of those, LSU has chances to be a 9-10 win team last season.
Posted on 1/19/22 at 12:01 pm to Tigerbait1977
quote:
Good coaching staff:
^^^
Posted on 1/19/22 at 12:01 pm to jimbeam
The transfer portal makes things interesting in the fact that you can get really good fast. Fix holes on your roster instantaneously. Not the old way of having to build multiple great recruiting classes.The staffs evaluations of these transfer portal guys is going to be huge.
Posted on 1/19/22 at 12:07 pm to Rosenblatt
Appreciate it. I might have told you all wrong about the HC, but at least I told you guys about Denbrock, Hankton, and some recruits.
Have a good day.
Have a good day.
Posted on 1/19/22 at 12:08 pm to Tigerbait1977
quote:
LSU last season in several games was maybe a “play away”.
Just to play devil’s advocate, there’s some wins that just as easily could have been losses.
Having said that;
quote:
Brian Kelly you could argue is a top 4 coach behind Saban, Dabo, Smart.
I’m not so sure these two are better coaches… we’ll see when the talent gap closes.
Posted on 1/19/22 at 12:08 pm to Tigerbait1977
8-4 is probably a reason O/U for next year's team.
LSU is going to have several new faces on the roster and a completely new coaching staff. EXPECTATIONS of a 10 win season are largely based on sheer optimism.
The road schedule in even years is always more difficult for LSU. They will play at Auburn, Florida and A&M (along with Arkansas). I think you could argue Auburn, LSU and Florida all seem to be in the same boat right now. Could LSU beat both at their place? Sure. Is it reasonable to expect that to be the case? Probably not. A&M has won the last two game there and they probably have a bit better roster than LSU right now. Then we get Alabama at home...who LSU hasn't beaten in TS since 2010.
COULD LSU win 10 games next year? Sure. But I would not set that as the bar for expectations given it is a first year coaching staff, with a lot of new players, taking over a program that has struggled to hit .500 each of the last two seasons.
LSU is going to have several new faces on the roster and a completely new coaching staff. EXPECTATIONS of a 10 win season are largely based on sheer optimism.
The road schedule in even years is always more difficult for LSU. They will play at Auburn, Florida and A&M (along with Arkansas). I think you could argue Auburn, LSU and Florida all seem to be in the same boat right now. Could LSU beat both at their place? Sure. Is it reasonable to expect that to be the case? Probably not. A&M has won the last two game there and they probably have a bit better roster than LSU right now. Then we get Alabama at home...who LSU hasn't beaten in TS since 2010.
COULD LSU win 10 games next year? Sure. But I would not set that as the bar for expectations given it is a first year coaching staff, with a lot of new players, taking over a program that has struggled to hit .500 each of the last two seasons.
Posted on 1/19/22 at 12:09 pm to Tigerbait1977
quote:
Tigerbait1977
Do you have any other info? Any knowledge of how Kelly is settling in down here?
Posted on 1/19/22 at 12:21 pm to BeeFense5
I don’t have much knowledge or info regarding Kelly personally.
I would assume he enjoyed his time and had time to soak it all in before the bowl game. He’s been a hard working guy of late though with all of the roster turnover, and transfer portal gets.
His vision is to bring championships.
I would assume he enjoyed his time and had time to soak it all in before the bowl game. He’s been a hard working guy of late though with all of the roster turnover, and transfer portal gets.
His vision is to bring championships.
Posted on 1/19/22 at 12:25 pm to Alt26
I'm actually thinking 9-3 for an over-under.
But that's based on some assumptions about how recruiting finishes up and how a lot of these newcomers pan out.
And it's mostly based on a perhaps irrational feeling that Brennan is going to have a big year.
I'm working on the model that last year was 1999 and Orgeron was DiNardo, and this year will be 2000 with Kelly as Saban. We went 8-4 that year, but I don't think we'll lose to UAB like we did then.
But that's based on some assumptions about how recruiting finishes up and how a lot of these newcomers pan out.
And it's mostly based on a perhaps irrational feeling that Brennan is going to have a big year.
I'm working on the model that last year was 1999 and Orgeron was DiNardo, and this year will be 2000 with Kelly as Saban. We went 8-4 that year, but I don't think we'll lose to UAB like we did then.
Posted on 1/19/22 at 1:24 pm to Tigerbait1977
He’s better than Dabo. Dabo is glorified Orgeron, he’ll be exposed now that his coordinators are gone.
Posted on 1/19/22 at 1:26 pm to Tigerbait1977
quote:
Brian Kelly you could argue is a top 4 coach behind Saban, Dabo, Smart.
So Kirby wins a championship and he goes from a loser who wastes talent to a top 3 coach. Something not adding up.
Posted on 1/19/22 at 2:30 pm to Tigerbait1977
Corners are a huge weakness for us atm. Hopefully we get that fixed with the portal or a stud recruit.
If we get better in the secondary, I see no reason why we can't be relatively successful next year.
Assuming of course, we stay healthy at key positions. I'm looking at you, BRENNAN.
If we get better in the secondary, I see no reason why we can't be relatively successful next year.
Assuming of course, we stay healthy at key positions. I'm looking at you, BRENNAN.
Posted on 1/19/22 at 2:35 pm to Tigerbait1977
quote:
Besides maybe UGA and Alabama what school can this fan base name that is clearly better then LSU?
More proof this board needs to take a "then" "than" class.
Posted on 1/19/22 at 4:29 pm to Tigerbait1977
Tigerbait1977
I agree with you for the most part & feel extremely optimistic about how far a good coaching staff can take the LSU FB program. Heck I don't disagree with anything you're saying. However I'm not necessarily as confident in the O-Line currently as you or how many teams I can confidently say LSU is better than. I'm a wait and see guy & I can't wait to see what a real experienced team of coaches can do in their 1st offseason, as of now it's far better than I anticipated!
I agree with you for the most part & feel extremely optimistic about how far a good coaching staff can take the LSU FB program. Heck I don't disagree with anything you're saying. However I'm not necessarily as confident in the O-Line currently as you or how many teams I can confidently say LSU is better than. I'm a wait and see guy & I can't wait to see what a real experienced team of coaches can do in their 1st offseason, as of now it's far better than I anticipated!
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